Match Info

SHL

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Behrn Arena (Örebro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Örebro		Rögle

	1	X	2
	3	4.3	2.11	Watch
	3.15	4.14	2.03
	3.25	3.9	2	Watch
	2.88	3.9	2
	3.17	4.15	1.98	Watch
	3.1	4	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	4.07 ↓ (4.17)	2.03 ↓ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Örebro
30.4%

Draw
23.2%

Rögle
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

22.4%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

22.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Örebro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Rögle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Örebro - Rögle Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rögle (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Enroth J. (G)	75. Holm A. (G)
55. Quenneville D.	95. Friedman M.
28. Arnesson L.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
89. Karlkvist P.	18. Everberg D. (A)
11. Kossila K.	28. Bengtsson A. (C)
21. Puistola P.	72. Zaar D.
Line 2
7. Martin L.	6. LaDue P.
5. Backstrom G. (A)	44. de Haan C.
44. Fernstrom M.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
19. Malone S.	83. Kuhlman K.
77. Turunen T.	8. Sandin L.
Line 3
6. Berglund F.	58. Johansson F.
27. Seppala P.	45. Biber G.
12. Steen N.	62. Horky L.
29. Oscarson M.	22. Olofsson F.
23. Polin E.	52. Nilsson F.
Line 4
48. Vainio J.	24. Goransson M.
37. Gustafsson G. (C)	37. Sundsvik A.
33. Mastomaki C. (A)	23. Dickinson J.
17. Wikman W.	32. Solberg I.
Substitutes
47. Aaram-Olsen N.	65. Rifalk C. (G)
31. Arntzen J. (G)	27. Sjodin L.
30. Tornblom K. (G)
Coaches
. Eriksson N.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
06:42, Wikman W. (2 min),
07:25, Nilsson F. (2 min),
15:34, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (2 min),
16:05, 1 - 0, Kossila K. (G), Karlkvist P. (A), Quenneville D. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
08:57, Bengtsson A. (2 min),
11:22, 1 - 1, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (G), Johansson F. (A),
15:03, 1 - 2, Olofsson F. (G), Goransson M. (A), Nilsson F. (A2)
17:55, Quenneville D. (2 min),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
03:32, 2 - 2, Martin L. (G), Karlkvist P. (A), Kossila K. (A2)
07:08, 3 - 2, Oscarson M. (G), Polin E. (A),
09:00, 3 - 3, Olofsson F. (G), Bristedt L. (A),
19:07, 3 - 4, Horky L. (G), Johansson F. (A),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 1.

Örebro is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Rögle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rögle will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Örebro won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 59:59. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Örebro won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 3.2:2.4).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.28% Orebro: 2.54%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
10	Orebro	7	2	0	2	3	14:20	8

Last Results with these Odds

Örebro - the odds 2.93 are the expected chance of winning is 31.86%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Rögle - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Örebro HK
SHL
30.12.25	Linköping - Örebro	4:3 ✺
28.12.25	Brynäs - Örebro	5:4 OT ✺
26.12.25	Örebro - HV71	4:7 ✺
20.12.25	Örebro - Leksand	2:1 ✺
18.12.25	Färjestad - Örebro	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Rögle BK
SHL
30.12.25	Växjö Lakers - Rögle	3:2 penalties ✺
28.12.25	Rögle - HV71	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Rögle - Frölunda	2:5 ✺
20.12.25	Färjestad - Rögle	1:2 ✺
18.12.25	Rögle - Brynäs	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

SHL
29.11.25	Örebro - Rögle	4:3
04.10.25	Rögle - Örebro	5:3
11.02.25	Örebro - Rögle	3:4
07.01.25	Rögle - Örebro	3:1
14.11.24	Örebro - Rögle	4:5 OT
17.10.24	Rögle - Örebro	2:1 penalties
15.02.24	Rögle - Örebro	2:3

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