Match Info

SHL

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Catena Arena (Ängelholm)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Sport 2
Sweden	TV4 Hockey, TV4 Play


	Rögle		Malmö Redhawks

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.75	3.8
	1.86	4.24	3.59	Watch
	1.87	3.96	3.6	Watch
	1.75	4	3.5
	1.85	4.2	3.52	Watch
	1.8	4.4	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.8)	4.26 ↑ (3.92)	3.6 ↓ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rögle
51.8%

Draw
22.1%

Malmö Redhawks
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

23.8%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.6%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Malmö Redhawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malmö Redhawks than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Rögle - Malmö Redhawks Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rögle will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Malmö will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
75. Holm A. (G)	94. Langhamer M. (G)
95. Friedman M.	49. Barton S.
16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.	42. Salo R.
18. Everberg D. (A)	91. Sundberg A.
28. Bengtsson A. (C)	63. Handemark F. (C)
72. Zaar D.	95. Persson C.
Line 2
58. Johansson F.	7. Niemela T.
44. de Haan C.	6. Viro E.
67. Bristedt L. (A)	48. Pajuniemi L.
83. Kuhlman K.	22. Kuokkanen J. (A)
8. Sandin L.	32. Ikonen Jo.
Line 3
45. Biber G.	4. Schreiber M.
51. Sjalin C.	74. Carell F.
52. Nilsson F.	13. Vesterheim P.
22. Olofsson F.	78. Hanzl R.
62. Horky L.	10. von Barnekow-Lofberg W.
Line 4
24. Goransson M.	17. Ivarsson J. (A)
41. Zether S.	11. Pedrotti E.
27. Sjodin L.	71. Nilsson I.
37. Sundsvik A.	9. Hemstrom K.
	12. Oberg L.
Substitutes
17. Neumann J.	40. Blomgren O. (G)
65. Rifalk C. (G)
Coaches
. Tangnes D.	. Kollar T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
12:13, 0 - 1, Pajuniemi L. (G), Kuokkanen J. (A), Salo R. (A2)
14:19, 1 - 1, Everberg D. (G), Zaar D. (A), Friedman M. (A2)
19:44, Friedman M. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:11, 1 - 2, von Barnekow-Lofberg W. (G), Vesterheim P. (A), Hanzl R. (A2)
10:00, 1 - 3, Sundberg A. (G), Persson C. (A),
14:36, Vesterheim P. (2 min),
16:07, 2 - 3, Nilsson F. (G), Olofsson F. (A), Sjalin C. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 3)
01:52, 2 - 4, Hanzl R. (G), Vesterheim P. (A),
05:55, 2 - 5, Persson C. (G), Sundberg A. (A), Salo R. (A2)
16:16, 3 - 5, Bristedt L. (G), Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (A), Sjalin C. (A2)
17:47, 3 - 6, Persson C. (G),
19:50, 4 - 6, Ekestahl-Jonsson L. (G), Sjalin C. (A),

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Rögle has had a series of away games.

In this match, Rögle is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rögle won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:46. (average 2.6:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Rögle won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:25. (average 2:2.5).

Outrights of SHL for now

Rogle: 10.28% Malmo: 1.98%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11
7	Malmo	6	2	1	2	1	16:16	10

Last Results with these Odds

Rögle - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.93%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Malmö Redhawks - the odds 3.86 are the expected chance of winning is 24.22%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rögle BK
SHL
15.01.26	Linköping - Rögle	0:4 ✺
10.01.26	Rögle - Luleå	1:2 OT ✺
08.01.26	Timrå - Rögle	4:1 ✺
06.01.26	Djurgården - Rögle	2:4 ✺
03.01.26	Örebro - Rögle	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLLWW
- Malmö Redhawks
SHL
15.01.26	Skellefteå - Malmö Redhawks	4:1 ✺
10.01.26	Örebro - Malmö Redhawks	4:2 ✺
08.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Brynäs	3:2 ✺
06.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Malmö Redhawks - Linköping	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
23.10.25	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	5:3
16.10.25	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	2:3
15.03.25	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	0:3
13.03.25	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	2:1 OT
11.03.25	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	3:2 OT
30.01.25	Rögle - Malmö Redhawks	0:4
16.11.24	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	4:3 penalties

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