Match Info

SHL

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Monitor ERP Arena (Gävle)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Brynäs		Rögle

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.3	2.9	Watch
	2.2	4.1	2.7
	2.25	3.95	2.8	Watch
	2.24	3.65	2.85
	2.18	3.86	2.9	Watch
	2.1	3.9	2.7
	2.2	4.1	2.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 (2.19)	3.98 ↓ (4.27)	2.8 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brynäs
42.9%

Draw
23.6%

Rögle
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

21.9%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

23.8%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brynäs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rögle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brynäs than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rögle than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rögle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brynäs - Rögle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kallgren E. (G)	65. Rifalk C. (G)
28. Kinnvall J.	95. Friedman M.
15. Bertilsson S.	16. Ekestahl-Jonsson L.
33. Silfverberg J.	52. Nilsson F.
10. Larsson J. (C)	22. Olofsson F.
81. Bellows K.	62. Horky L.
Line 2
27. Norlinder M.	45. Biber G.
14. Hagg R.	44. de Haan C.
18. Rodin A. (A)	18. Everberg D. (A)
20. Vesel T.	28. Bengtsson A. (C)
23. Lindblom O.	72. Zaar D.
Line 3
53. Witkowski L.	6. LaDue P.
5. Kempny M.	51. Sjalin C.
8. Trivigno B.	67. Bristedt L. (A)
36. Olund L. (A)	23. Dickinson J.
71. Jonsson Fjallby A.	83. Kuhlman K.
Line 4
41. Scott G.	17. Norlin I.
38. Hillstrom G.	32. Solberg I.
47. Pettersson L.	37. Sundsvik A.
	8. Sandin L.
Substitutes
45. Clara D. (G)	75. Holm A. (G)
52. Kopacka J.	27. Sjodin L.
Coaches
. Gallstedt N.	. Tangnes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
06:04, Sundsvik A. (2 min),
08:06, 1 - 0, Silfverberg J. (G), Pettersson L. (A), Vesel T. (A2)
10:22, Silfverberg J. (2 min),
12:43, 1 - 1, Sundsvik A. (G), de Haan C. (A), Friedman M. (A2)
16:31, Larsson J. (2 min),
18:33, Silfverberg J. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Sandin L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Kinnvall J. (Penalty Shot),
2, Kuhlman K. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bellows K. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zaar D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Silfverberg J. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sandin L. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kinnvall J. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Brynäs has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brynäs won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 56:69. (average 2.8:3.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Brynäs won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 2.8:2.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Brynas	7	4	0	0	3	21:15	12
6	Rogle	7	3	1	0	3	18:15	11

Last Results with these Odds

Brynäs - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.63%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.

Rögle - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.5%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brynäs IF
SHL
21.02.26	Luleå - Brynäs	4:3 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Brynäs - Djurgården	5:2 ✺
07.02.26	Brynäs - Färjestad	5:0 ✺
05.02.26	Brynäs - Leksand	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Brynäs - Skellefteå	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL
- Rögle BK
SHL
21.02.26	Linköping - Rögle	3:4 penalties ✺
19.02.26	Rögle - HV71	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Rögle - Växjö Lakers	3:4 OT ✺
05.02.26	Malmö Redhawks - Rögle	1:4 ✺
31.01.26	Rögle - Timrå	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

SHL
18.12.25	Rögle - Brynäs	2:3 penalties
22.11.25	Brynäs - Rögle	3:2 OT
27.09.25	Rögle - Brynäs	4:3
06.03.25	Rögle - Brynäs	2:1
04.01.25	Brynäs - Rögle	5:4 penalties
26.11.24	Rögle - Brynäs	2:5
03.10.24	Brynäs - Rögle	2:1

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