Match Info

VHL

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Khimik

	1	X	2
	3.87	3.97	1.78
	3.62	4.2	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.5)	4.09 ↑ (3.7)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
25%

Draw
22.9%

Khimik
52.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

25.2%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

26.8%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Khimik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

AKM - Khimik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
97. Skovronsky A. (G)	31. Volokhin Y. (G)
38. Bulygin D.	43. Krasnichuk A.
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	4. Sokolov N. (C)
94. Mitrofanov A. (A)	36. Lukin K.
13. Bryntsev M.	8. Krovyakov M. (A)
10. Nazarov M.	12. Buruyanov N.
Line 2
3. Zhurakov D.	3. Ivanov D.
80. Strugov Y.	89. Korolyov V.
21. Makarov R.	2. Varyushkin Y.
70. Dyukarev V.	27. Korotkikh I.
29. Kaburov G.	92. Yarovoi S.
Line 3
71. Zaitsev D. (A)	5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)
24. Alishlalov M.	13. Gavrilov I.
28. Tsybin M.	77. Zvyagin S.
77. Sharifyanov T.	7. Kukstel P.
12. Rybakov V.	23. Ovchinnikov G.
Line 4
36. Shumilin Y.	93. Matveyev V.
79. Shulenin G.	32. Maryshev A.
86. Ignatov S.	72. Zaitsev A.
	84. Nasretdinov M.
	91. Zamula M.
Substitutes
56. Kalmykov D.	1. Kanayev P. (G)
60. Kanarsky I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
00:59, 0 - 1, Ivanov D. (G), Krovyakov M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
12:46, 0 - 2, Korotkikh I. (G), Ovchinnikov G. (A), Zvyagin S. (A2)

Preview

Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM won 3.

AKM is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Khimik has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Khimik may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, AKM has had a series of away games.

Recently, Khimik has had a series of home games.

In this match, Khimik is a strong favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, AKM won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, AKM won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:11. (average 2.8:2.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	AKM	14	8	0	3	3	43:32	19
8	Khimik	14	6	2	2	4	46:28	18

Last Results with these Odds

Khimik - the odds 1.94 are the expected chance of winning is 48.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
08.03.26	AKM - Torpedo-Gorky	2:3 penalties ✺
02.03.26	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - AKM	4:2 ✺
28.02.26	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - AKM	4:3 OT ✺
26.02.26	Chelmet - AKM	2:1 ✺
24.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- MHC Khimik
VHL
05.03.26	Khimik - Chelny	4:2 ✺
03.03.26	Khimik - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
01.03.26	Khimik - CSK VVS Samara	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Khimik - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Khimik	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
05.09.25	Khimik - AKM	2:5
26.02.25	AKM - Khimik	4:3 OT
25.09.24	Khimik - AKM	3:2 penalties
12.02.24	AKM - Khimik	3:1
05.09.23	Khimik - AKM	3:2 OT
26.12.22	Khimik - AKM	1:6
21.10.22	AKM - Khimik	0:5

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