Match Info

VHL

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Ledovaya Arena A. Kozitsyna (Verkhnyaya Pyshma)


	Gornyak-UGMK		AKM

	1	X	2
	1.84	4.15	3.56	Watch
	1.73	3.8	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.98 ↓ (4.15)	3.45 ↓ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gornyak-UGMK
50.8%

Draw
22.8%

AKM
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

22.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

24.9%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Gornyak UGMK - AKM Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - AKM (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. AKM (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Novosyolov N. (G)	91. Pastukh V. (G)
91. Malorosiyanov D.	25. Puchkov Y.
50. Shchemerov A.	67. Ivanov G.
79. Tarasov M.	94. Mitrofanov A.
29. Khremkin K.	90. Komissarov L.
32. Borisov S.	52. Lapshin I.
Line 2
85. Zhuravlyov Y.	3. Zhurakov D.
72. Trofimov Y.	80. Strugov Y.
96. Miller N.	21. Makarov R.
14. Makhrin M.	70. Dyukarev V.
44. Lukhovskoy N.	29. Kaburov G.
Line 3
90. Nekrasov N.	71. Zaitsev D.
4. Bolshakov M.	98. Novikov N.
7. Gordin A.	10. Nazarov M.
13. Zaytsev O.	77. Sharifyanov T.
80. Demidovich V.	56. Kalmykov D.
Line 4
82. Golovkin M.	24. Alishlalov M.
62. Shchuchinov A.	36. Shumilin Y.
56. Ovchinnikov I.	79. Shulenin G.
18. Sushchev V.	86. Ignatov S.
76. Kashtanov A.
Substitutes
93. Romashkin P. (G)	60. Kanarsky I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
01:31, 1 - 0, Demidovich V. (G), Zhuravlyov Y. (A), Trofimov Y. (A2)
17:33, 2 - 0, Kashtanov A. (G), Sushchev V. (A), Ovchinnikov I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
08:53, 2 - 1, Makarov R. (G), Kaburov G. (A),
10:28, 2 - 2, Lapshin I. (G), Novikov N. (A), Zaitsev D. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:28, 3 - 2, Malorosiyanov D. (G), Tarasov M. (A), Borisov S. (A2)
09:16, 4 - 2, Tarasov M. (G), Khremkin K. (A), Malorosiyanov D. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

AKM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.

Recently, AKM has had a series of home games.

Gornyak-UGMK could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 2.6:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 2.4:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	AKM	12	7	0	3	2	38:29	17

Last Results with these Odds

Gornyak-UGMK - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.73%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gornyak-UGMK
VHL
19.02.26	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
17.02.26	Neftyanik Almetyevsk - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 ✺
15.02.26	CSK VVS Samara - Gornyak-UGMK	5:0 ✺
13.02.26	Bars Kazan - Gornyak-UGMK	4:1 ✺
07.02.26	Gornyak-UGMK - Dinamo St. Petersburg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWLLL
- AKM Tula
VHL
20.02.26	AKM - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	2:1 penalties ✺
18.02.26	AKM - Molot Perm	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	AKM - Toros Neftekamsk	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	AKM - Izhstal	2:7 ✺
10.02.26	AKM - Kristall Saratov	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
18.09.25	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	0:1
11.01.25	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	1:4
10.11.24	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	1:7
31.01.24	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	1:0
22.09.23	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	2:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.23	Gornyak-UGMK - AKM	2:3
VHL
10.01.23	AKM - Gornyak-UGMK	2:3 pen.

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