Match Info

VHL

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Ledovy Dvorets (Tula)


	AKM		Magnitka Magnitogorsk

	1	X	2
	2.39	3.86	2.52	Watch
	2.37	3.99	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)	3.93 ↑ (3.92)	2.49 ↓ (2.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

AKM
39%

Draw
23.6%

Magnitka Magnitogorsk
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

23.8%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

23.3%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

AKM has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Akhmetov A. (G)	23. Amirbekov J. (G)
71. Zaitsev D.	21. Yegorov A.
25. Puchkov Y. (C)	37. Gololobov D.
70. Dyukarev V.	36. Mastryukov A.
88. Shiafotdinov K. (A)	15. Grass M.
86. Ignatov S.	9. Boltanov A. (A)
Line 2
67. Ivanov G.	32. Shetle E.
9. Goryachev A. (A)	4. Zhloba N. (C)
32. Manin Y.	77. Kuzyakin A.
77. Sharifyanov T.	13. Zimin N. (A)
28. Tsybin M.	88. Rybin I.
Line 3
3. Zhurakov D.	63. Vaulin M.
38. Bulygin D.	6. Gromov N.
93. Gizatullin D.	31. Mirzabalayev A.
13. Bryntsev M.	97. Galenyuk M.
12. Rybakov V.	38. Mikhnin D.
Line 4
18. Boyarkin Y.	7. Timashov N.
5. Denisov D.	99. Kovgorenya A.
79. Shulenin G.	25. Serazetdinov D.
90. Komissarov L.	68. Golnik R.
17. Rtishchev N.
Substitutes
60. Kanarsky I. (G)	98. Fursa A.
	20. Kramzin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
00:31, 0 - 1, Zimin N. (G), Mastryukov A. (A), Boltanov A. (A2)
07:27, 0 - 2, Mirzabalayev A. (G), Mikhnin D. (A), Zimin N. (A2)
16:18, 1 - 2, Zhurakov D. (G), Ignatov S. (A), Bryntsev M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 3)
02:19, 1 - 3, Golnik R. (G), Gololobov D. (A), Yegorov A. (A2)
05:23, 1 - 4, Grass M. (G), Mastryukov A. (A),
14:02, 1 - 5, Boltanov A. (G), Grass M. (A),
15:49, 2 - 5, Manin Y. (G), Tsybin M. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
14:15, 2 - 6, Gololobov D. (G), Mastryukov A. (A),

Preview

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

AKM may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, AKM has had a series of away games.

Recently, Magnitka has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, AKM won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, AKM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Magnitka Magnitogorsk - the odds 2.62 are the expected chance of winning is 35.56%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AKM Tula
VHL
12.09.25	AKM - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:2 penalties ✺
07.09.25	Torpedo-Gorky - AKM	2:3 penalties ✺
05.09.25	Khimik - AKM	2:5 ✺
03.09.25	Zvezda Moscow - AKM	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.25	Ryazan - AKM	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWWL
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk
VHL
10.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Izhstal	2:4 ✺
08.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Toros Neftekamsk	3:2 OT ✺
06.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Molot Perm	3:1 ✺
04.09.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Olympia Kirovo-Chepetsk	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.08.25	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
17.01.25	AKM - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	0:3
12.11.24	Magnitka Magnitogorsk - AKM	2:4

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