Match Info

VHL

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Ledovyy dvorets (Voskresensk)


	Khimik		Chelny

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.9	7
	1.31	6.06	6.97	Watch
	1.37	4.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.43)	5.57 ↑ (5)	6.32 ↑ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khimik
68.9%

Draw
16.5%

Chelny
14.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.5%

18.7%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.9%

19.2%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khimik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Chelny has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimik than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelny than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Khimik - Chelny Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Kanayev P. (G)	80. Gorokhov N. (G)
89. Korolyov V.	5. Davydov D.
4. Sokolov N. (C)	72. Kolmagorov K. (A)
99. Filin Y.	59. Anufriev I.
8. Krovyakov M. (A)	68. Silayev I. (C)
98. Belyayev A.	29. Manukyan A.
Line 2
5. Rukavishnikov R. (A)	44. Vinogradov A.
78. Bychkov R.	62. Naumov G.
28. Pashin A.	10. Ustimkin M.
97. Kholodilin N.	94. Sherstobitov D.
12. Buruyanov N.	22. Minnekhanov B. (A)
Line 3
87. Dmitriyev S.	19. Zakharov N.
32. Maryshev A.	73. Goloshchapov K.
36. Lukin K.	18. Guskov I.
27. Korotkikh I.	25. Rakhcheev I.
41. Solovyov D.	97. Smirnov N.
Line 4
2. Varyushkin Y.	63. Biktashev S.
7. Kukstel P.	86. Minnekhanov T.
92. Yarovoi S.	69. Redkov A.
	9. Nasyrov M.
Substitutes
23. Ovchinnikov G.	20. Smirnov A. (G)
31. Volokhin Y. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
00:53, 0 - 1, Minnekhanov B. (G), Sherstobitov D. (A),
14:50, 1 - 1, Kukstel P. (G), Rukavishnikov R. (A), Varyushkin Y. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
00:30, 2 - 1, Kholodilin N. (G), Buruyanov N. (A), Pashin A. (A2)
05:09, 3 - 1, Varyushkin Y. (G), Yarovoi S. (A),
06:48, 4 - 1, Lukin K. (G),
15:55, 4 - 2, Nasyrov M. (G), Minnekhanov T. (A),

Preview

Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Khimik has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chelny is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Chelny may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Chelny has had a series of home games.

In this match, Khimik is a strong favorite.

We predict that Khimik will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimik won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 3.8:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Khimik won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Khimik	13	6	2	2	3	45:26	18

Last Results with these Odds

Chelny - the odds 5.94 are the expected chance of winning is 15.77%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Khimik
VHL
03.03.26	Khimik - Neftyanik Almetyevsk	3:4 ✺
01.03.26	Khimik - CSK VVS Samara	2:0 ✺
27.02.26	Khimik - Bars Kazan	2:3 ✺
20.02.26	Dinamo St. Petersburg - Khimik	2:3 ✺
18.02.26	SKA-VMF - Khimik	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLWW
- HC Chelny
VHL
03.03.26	Torpedo-Gorky - Chelny	2:1 penalties ✺
25.02.26	Chelny - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:4 OT ✺
23.02.26	Chelny - Magnitka Magnitogorsk	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Chelny - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
19.02.26	Chelny - Gornyak-UGMK	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
19.09.25	Chelny - Khimik	3:7
03.02.25	Khimik - Chelny	3:2 OT
20.10.24	Chelny - Khimik	2:3
25.11.23	Chelny - Khimik	1:4
17.11.23	Khimik - Chelny	2:1

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