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Current Win Probability
AKM Novomoskovsk 30.5%
Draw 22.5%
Tyumensky Legion 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.7%
20.6%
40.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.2%
20.4%
41.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM Novomoskovsk's form might have worsened.
Tyumensky Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tyumensky Legion's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM Novomoskovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tyumensky Legion than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tyumensky Legion, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AKM Novomoskovsk - Tyumensky Legion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Mandrykin K. (G)
71. Maslennikov I. (G)
11. Gendunov E.
79. Bykov N.
3. Badikov A.
76. Kartashov A.
10. Kazharin I. (C)
72. Yepifanov M.
72. Boyarkin G. (A)
81. Karpov S.
80. Olikh A.
91. Redko R.
Line 2
79. Ponomaryov D.
74. Biketov D.
69. Rostkov V.
75. Dementyev L.
33. Likhachev V.
17. Pertsev D.
55. Rulin M.
95. Lebedev A.
91. Ryzhkov A. (A)
52. Yanovsky I.
Line 3
58. Putyunin A.
84. Abdulmanov D.
37. Gilmanov D.
4. Zakharov A.
63. Krayushkin M.
97. Sychugov D.
67. Kubankov D.
98. Klochanov A.
98. Volkov V.
47. Chizhikov N.
Line 4
15. Gordyukov A.
33. Bezhan S.
24. Kulikov A.
21. Babenko A.
71. Krasin D.
77. Ozhgibetsev N.
77. Semenov S.
88. Vakhit D.
81. Bogatin M.
60. Nurmagamedov R.
Substitutes
1. Khabibulin R. (G)
31. Dymkov A. (G)
30. Skryabin N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
08:14, 1 - 0, Rulin M. (G), Ponomaryov D. (A),
08:46, 1 - 1, Pertsev D. (G), Yanovsky I. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
01:55, 2 - 1, Kubankov D. (G), Putyunin A. (A),
10:56, 3 - 1, Kubankov D. (G), Gendunov E. (A), Volkov V. (A2)
16:04, 4 - 1, Kubankov D. (G), Krayushkin M. (A),
Preview
AKM Novomoskovsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Tyumensky Legion has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
AKM Novomoskovsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Tyumensky Legion has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 2.4:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, AKM Novomoskovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 2.7:3.3).
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Mandrykin K. (G) 
Likhachev V. 
Klochanov A. 
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