Match Info

Metal Ligaen

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday


	Aalborg Pirates		Esbjerg Energy

	1	X	2
	1.77	4.75	3.2
	1.91	4.40	3.00
	1.84	4.24	3.38
	1.78	4.03	3.38
	1.76	4.43	3.42	Watch
	1.76	3.95	3.3
	1.76	4.3	3.47	Watch
	1.8	4.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.91)	4.31 ↓ (4.43)	3.31 ↑ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg Pirates
51%

Draw
21.3%

Esbjerg Energy
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.2%

20.8%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

21.9%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Esbjerg Energy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg Pirates than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aalborg Pirates that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg Energy than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Aalborg Pirates - Esbjerg Energy Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Esbjerg Energy will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Olofsson E. (G)	43. Seldrup M. (G)
55. Hjorth E.	12. Gavlas P.
29. Brondberg J.	57. Cairns M.
10. Craighead D.	9. Lajeunesse T.
61. Jakobsen J. (C)	13. Kjaer O. (A)
87. Ladehoff T. (A)	61. Franklin Z.
Line 2
4. Folin N.	2. Laskovs E.
66. Lindelof A. (A)	44. Kulda A. (C)
20. Welsh T.	48. Andersen N.
76. Kvist O.	41. Werbik N.
71. Andersen L.	27. Bjerrum R.
Line 3
24. Carstensen N.	6. Nielsen M.
16. Larsen L.	7. Lyo R.
88. Rasmussen T.	24. Ebener T.
9. Dornbach C.	82. Downing G.
21. Korsgaard J.	15. Mondrup T.
Line 4
77. Rundh F.	91. Bergmanis E.
6. Norgaard M.	10. Sand V.
53. Spelling T.	28. Marloth O.
2. Brinkman S.
25. Norgaard G.
Substitutes
1. Steinbergs K. (G)	31. Just M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
04:15, 0 - 1, Andersen N. (G), Kulda A. (A), Werbik N. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
15:24, 0 - 2, Downing G. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
18:22, 0 - 3, Lajeunesse T. (G), Werbik N. (A), Kjaer O. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg Pirates won 1.

Aalborg Pirates has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Esbjerg Energy has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aalborg Pirates may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Aalborg Pirates is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Aalborg Pirates in today's match, at odds of 1.92.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg Pirates has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 66:54 (averaging 3.3:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aalborg Pirates against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 36:24 goals (averaging 3.6:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Esbjerg	12	7	0	2	3	42:36	23
6	Aalborg	12	3	3	0	6	31:33	15

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg Pirates - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 48.21%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Esbjerg Energy - the odds 2.97 are the expected chance of winning is 31%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg Pirates
Danish Ishockey Ligaen
22.09.26	Herning Blue Fox - Aalborg Pirates	2:3 AET ✺
18.09.26	Aalborg Pirates - Frederikshavn White Hawks	2:4 ✺
15.09.26	Aalborg Pirates - Herlev Eagles	3:2 OT ✺
07.09.26	Aalborg Pirates - Odense Bulldogs	4:3 OT ✺
28.08.26	Frederikshavn White Hawks - Aalborg Pirates	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WLWWW
- Esbjerg Energy
Danish Ishockey Ligaen
20.09.26	Frederikshavn White Hawks - Esbjerg Energy	4:3 ✺
18.09.26	Esbjerg Energy - Odense Bulldogs	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Esbjerg Energy - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:2 ✺
11.09.26	Krefeld Pinguine - Esbjerg Energy	3:2 OT ✺
Danish Ishockey Ligaen
09.09.26	Herlev Eagles - Esbjerg Energy	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Ishockey Ligaen
02.02.26	Aalborg Pirates - Esbjerg Energy	3:4 OT
30.01.26	Esbjerg Energy - Aalborg Pirates	2:0
04.12.25	Esbjerg Energy - Aalborg Pirates	7:3
14.11.25	Aalborg Pirates - Esbjerg Energy	2:3
24.10.25	Aalborg Pirates - Esbjerg Energy	7:3
21.09.25	Esbjerg Energy - Aalborg Pirates	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
26.08.25	Esbjerg Energy - Aalborg Pirates	5:4 OT

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