The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Aalborg Pirates 20.8%
Draw 19.9%
Herning Blue Fox 59.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
18%
19%
63%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
21.3%
58.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aalborg Pirates has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
Herning Blue Fox has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg Pirates than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herning Blue Fox than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Aalborg Pirates - Herning Blue Fox Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Steinbergs K. (G)
35. Fecers J. (G)
4. Folin N.
7. Amorosa T.
66. Lindelof A. (A)
33. Larsen K.
10. Craighead D.
72. Schultz P.
61. Jakobsen J. (C)
17. O'Neil K.
21. Korsgaard J.
38. Poulsen M. (C)
Line 2
55. Hjorth E.
28. Kristensen E. (A)
29. Brondberg J.
54. Soderbom M.
91. Engstrand E.
15. Dmytriw J.
20. Welsh T.
95. Toivola A.
71. Andersen L.
70. Kiljunen O.
Line 3
6. Wilquin J.
41. Larsen M.
16. Larsen L.
27. Cibulskis O. (A)
87. Ladehoff T. (A)
29. Bang L.
9. Dornbach C.
88. Linde A.
22. Grundtvig A.
21. Thomsen H.
Line 4
88. Rasmussen T.
26. Bilgrav V.
2. Brinkman S.
19. Eskildsen M.
25. Norgaard G.
24. Baerentsen L.
Substitutes
92. Olofsson E. (G)
39. Sorensen G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:40, 0 - 1, Soderbom M. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:06, 1 - 1, Craighead D. (G), Jakobsen J. (A), Hjorth E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
09:53, 1 - 2, Larsen M. (G), Poulsen M. (A), Cibulskis O. (A2)
19:24, 1 - 3, O'Neil K. (G), Poulsen M. (A),
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Metal Ligaen Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 1st in the Promotion - Metal Ligaen Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg Pirates won 1.
In recent outings, Aalborg Pirates has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Herning Blue Fox is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Herning Blue Fox may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Herning Blue Fox for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg Pirates has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:75 (averaging 2.5:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Aalborg Pirates against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 25:43 goals (averaging 2.5:4.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Herning Blue Fox
14
11
2
1
0
66:22
38
8
Aalborg
14
3
3
0
8
33:39
15
Outrights of Danish Ishockey Ligaen for now
Herning Blue Fox: 51.01%
Last Results with these Odds
Herning Blue Fox - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.