Match Info

Metal Ligaen

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday


	Aalborg Pirates		Rungsted Cobras

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.3	2.55	Watch
	1.62	5.00	3.80
	2.19	4.18	2.63
	2.09	4.29	2.53
	1.66	4.64	3.73	Watch
	2.06	4.2	2.5
	1.99	4.2	2.88	Watch
	2.07	4.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.76)	4.39 ↑ (4.34)	2.92 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg Pirates
47%

Draw
21.2%

Rungsted Cobras
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.3%

21.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

22.4%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aalborg Pirates's form might have worsened.

Rungsted Cobras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rungsted Cobras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rungsted Cobras than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Aalborg Pirates - Rungsted Cobras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
92. Olofsson E. (G)	31. Grubak D. (G)
55. Hjorth E.	76. Daly T.
29. Brondberg J.	28. Gammelgaard J.
21. Korsgaard J.	2. Liss O.
61. Jakobsen J. (C)	36. Karlsson F. (A)
87. Ladehoff T.	25. Elvenes L.
Line 2
66. Lindelof A.	23. Froland D.
77. Rundh F.	47. Welin T.
88. Rasmussen T.	16. Kindopp B.
76. Kvist O.	19. Buncis F. (C)
71. Andersen L.	21. Olhaver G.
Line 3
4. Folin N.	44. Mogensen J.
16. Larsen L.	22. Damgaard V.
20. Welsh T.	10. Nielsson A.
9. Dornbach C.	9. Hull V.
2. Brinkman S.	77. Ahlberg V. (A)
Line 4
	12. Degn M.
	90. Haunstoft A.
	7. Hartmann C.
Substitutes
25. Norgaard G.	1. Vilykke T. (G)
1. Steinbergs K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:44, 0 - 1, Daly T. (G), Olhaver G. (A), Ahlberg V. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Metal Ligaen Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th in the Promotion - Metal Ligaen Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aalborg Pirates won 4.

Aalborg Pirates has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Rungsted has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

In this matchup, Aalborg Pirates is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aalborg Pirates has recorded 15 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 79:46 (averaging 4:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aalborg Pirates against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 42:24 goals (averaging 4.2:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Aalborg	9	2	3	0	4	24:24	12
7	Rungsted	10	3	0	2	5	27:33	11

Last Results with these Odds

Aalborg Pirates - the odds 1.76 are the expected chance of winning is 52.32%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Rungsted Cobras - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.46%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg Pirates
Danish Ishockey Ligaen
02.10.26	Rungsted Cobras - Aalborg Pirates	4:7 ✺
28.09.26	Aalborg Pirates - SønderjyskE	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Aalborg Pirates - Esbjerg Energy	0:3 ✺
22.09.26	Herning Blue Fox - Aalborg Pirates	2:3 AET ✺
18.09.26	Aalborg Pirates - Frederikshavn White Hawks	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WLLWL
- Rungsted Cobras
Danish Ishockey Ligaen
02.10.26	Rungsted Cobras - Aalborg Pirates	4:7 ✺
29.09.26	Rungsted Cobras - Odense Bulldogs	5:2 ✺
25.09.26	Rødovre Mighty Bulls - Rungsted Cobras	2:1 OT ✺
20.09.26	SønderjyskE - Rungsted Cobras	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Rungsted Cobras - Rødovre Mighty Bulls	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Ishockey Ligaen
02.10.26	Rungsted Cobras - Aalborg Pirates	4:7
04.03.26	Rungsted Cobras - Aalborg Pirates	1:3
06.02.26	Aalborg Pirates - Rungsted Cobras	1:2
14.12.25	Rungsted Cobras - Aalborg Pirates	0:4
12.12.25	Aalborg Pirates - Rungsted Cobras	3:2
12.10.25	Rungsted Cobras - Aalborg Pirates	5:6 OT
05.10.25	Aalborg Pirates - Rungsted Cobras	3:2 OT

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