The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Esbjerg Energy 52.6%
Draw 21.4%
Aalborg Pirates 26%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.1%
22.4%
26.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
24%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg Energy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Aalborg Pirates has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg Energy than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Esbjerg Energy that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg Pirates than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Esbjerg Energy - Aalborg Pirates Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
43. Seldrup M. (G)
1. Steinbergs K. (G)
57. Cairns M.
55. Younan A.
12. Gavlas P.
29. Brondberg J.
61. Franklin Z.
21. Korsgaard J.
13. Kjaer O. (A)
61. Jakobsen J. (C)
9. Lajeunesse T.
10. Craighead D.
Line 2
44. Kulda A. (C)
77. Rundh F.
2. Laskovs E.
66. Lindelof A. (A)
15. Mondrup T.
91. Engstrand E.
82. Downing G. (A)
2. Brinkman S.
91. Bergmanis E.
71. Andersen L.
Line 3
7. Jakobsen B.
4. Folin N.
6. Nielsen M.
24. Carstensen N.
27. Bjerrum R.
22. Grundtvig A.
41. Werbik N.
9. Dornbach C.
48. Andersen N.
87. Ladehoff T. (A)
Line 4
18. Zulow Laursen V.
16. Larsen L.
24. Ebener T.
25. Norgaard G.
10. Sand V.
20. Welsh T.
28. Marloth O.
88. Rasmussen T.
Substitutes
95. Madsen M. (G)
92. Olofsson E. (G)
1. Pedersen W. (G)
Preview
This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Metal Ligaen Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 8th in the Promotion - Metal Ligaen Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg Energy won 5.
In recent outings, Esbjerg Energy has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Aalborg Pirates is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Esbjerg Energy may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Esbjerg Energy is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Esbjerg Energy has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:61 (averaging 2.8:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Esbjerg Energy against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:25 goals (averaging 3.1:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Esbjerg
15
7
0
2
6
47:52
23
8
Aalborg
14
3
3
0
8
33:39
15
Last Results with these Odds
Esbjerg Energy - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.07%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.