Match Info

Date: 20 February 2022, Sunday


	Academy Zug		Thurgau

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.75	1.53
	4.5	4.5	1.53
	4.5	4.4	1.53
	4.53	4.58	1.52
	4.2	4.75	1.5
	4.5	4.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.33)	4.58 ↓ (4.6)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Academy Zug
20.7%

Draw
19.9%

Thurgau
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

20.3%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

17.2%

68.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Academy Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Thurgau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Academy Zug than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Thurgau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Academy Zug - Thurgau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Academy Zug won 0.

Academy Zug is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Thurgau is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Thurgau is a favorite.

Thurgau is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Last 27 head-to-head matches Academy Zug won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 54-80.

Including matches at home between the teams Academy Zug won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 26-39.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EVZ Academy Zug
Swiss League Hockey
18.02.22	EHC Kloten - Academy Zug	3:2 ✺
13.02.22	Academy Zug - Bellinzona Snakes	5:2 ✺
11.02.22	Langenthal - Academy Zug	4:3 OT ✺
09.02.22	Thurgau - Academy Zug	3:1 ✺
07.02.22	Academy Zug - EHC Kloten	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
18.02.22	Thurgau - Bellinzona Snakes	3:1 ✺
13.02.22	GCK Lions - Thurgau	0:4 ✺
11.02.22	Thurgau - Sierre	3:0 ✺
09.02.22	Thurgau - Academy Zug	3:1 ✺
07.02.22	Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
09.02.22	Thurgau - Academy Zug	3:1
21.12.21	Thurgau - Academy Zug	5:2
16.11.21	Academy Zug - Thurgau	3:2 OT
11.09.21	Thurgau - Academy Zug	4:2
16.01.21	Academy Zug - Thurgau	2:3
05.12.20	Thurgau - Academy Zug	0:4
27.10.20	Academy Zug - Thurgau	2:3 OT

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