Match Info

Swiss League

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday

Location: Pista Ghiaccio Biasca (Biasca)


	Bellinzona Snakes		Thurgau

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.90	4.60	1.60
	3.55	4.10	1.73
	3.56	4.36	1.68
	5	5	1.47	Watch
	3.50	4.30	1.66
	3.95	4.25	1.64
	3.75	4.50	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.89 ↓ (5.3)	4.44 ↓ (5)	1.64 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bellinzona Snakes
23.5%

Draw
20.6%

Thurgau
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

18.5%

64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

16.1%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bellinzona Snakes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bellinzona Snakes's performance.

Thurgau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thurgau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bellinzona Snakes than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Feuz A. (G)	31. Simmchen S. (G)
57. Martin T.	47. Villa A.
4. Togni E.	11. Marchand L.
67. De Luca J.	22. Truog L. C.
40. Hedlund W.	90. Ljunggren D. (A)
71. Pedrazzini G. (A)	38. Munger K. L.
Line 2
3. Favre N.	19. Murer F.
17. Comploj F.	3. Hinder L.
74. Bernazzi E. (A)	13. Derungs I.
79. Conceprio A. (C)	92. Bohler N.
16. Bonvin B.	14. Okabe Z.
Line 3
93. Delmas Q.	6. Geisser M.
7. Moreno T.	18. Kuhni K. (A)
77. Marchetti I.	16. Haas K.
22. Schwenninger D.	46. Rundkvist A.
82. Besanidis A.	88. Binias D.
Line 4
8. Meier D.	59. Deussen L.
86. Palmisano M.	7. Embacher J.
18. Togni D.	24. Hobi D. (C)
34. Schenk L.	79. Etter K.
66. Reynaud T.
Substitutes
31. Jaafri-Hayani N. (G)	15. Diethelm M.
	81. Neuenschwander E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
12:24, 1 - 0, Togni D. (G), Reynaud T. (A),
14:47, 2 - 0, Togni D. (G),
2nd Period (0 - 3)
00:38, 2 - 1, Murer F. (G), Truog L. C. (A),
07:52, 2 - 2, Bohler N. (G), Munger K. L. (A),
18:05, 2 - 3, Murer F. (G), Ljunggren D. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
19:16, 2 - 4, Bohler N. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bellinzona won 1.

Bellinzona has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Thurgau has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Thurgau could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Thurgau carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Bellinzona in today's match, at odds of 4.87.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Bellinzona has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 17 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:77 (averaging 1.5:3.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Bellinzona against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with 15:33 goals (averaging 1.5:3.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Bellinzona Snakes	9	3	1	1	4	25:29	12
6	Thurgau	8	2	2	1	3	19:24	11

Last Results with these Odds

Bellinzona Snakes - the odds 5.3 are the expected chance of winning is 17.5%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bellinzona Snakes
Swiss League Hockey
03.10.26	GCK Lions - Bellinzona Snakes	1:3 ✺
29.09.26	Sierre - Bellinzona Snakes	6:3 ✺
26.09.26	Bellinzona Snakes - Chur	2:1 ✺
22.09.26	Visp - Bellinzona Snakes	5:2 ✺
19.09.26	Bellinzona Snakes - Arosa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WLWLW
- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
03.10.26	Thurgau - Sierre	2:7 ✺
29.09.26	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Thurgau	6:2 ✺
22.09.26	Chur - Thurgau	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	EHC Basel - Thurgau	4:2 ✺
18.09.26	Thurgau - Visp	0:1 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
21.02.26	Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau	2:0
23.12.25	Thurgau - Bellinzona Snakes	4:1
21.11.25	Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau	1:2
17.10.25	Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau	0:2
23.09.25	Thurgau - Bellinzona Snakes	4:1
11.01.25	Thurgau - Bellinzona Snakes	10:1
10.12.24	Bellinzona Snakes - Thurgau	1:5

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