Match Info

CANADA: QMJHL

Date: 13 October 2024, Sunday

Location: K. C. Irving Regional Centre (Bathurst, NB)


	Acadie-Bathurst Titan		Victoriaville Tigres

	1	X	2
	2.27	4.55	2.46
	2.26	4.79	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2)	4.67 ↑ (4.61)	2.4 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acadie-Bathurst Titan
41.1%

Draw
20%

Victoriaville Tigres
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

20.3%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

20.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acadie-Bathurst Titan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Acadie-Bathurst Titan's form might have worsened.

Victoriaville Tigres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoriaville Tigres's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acadie-Bathurst Titan than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Acadie-Bathurst Titan, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriaville Tigres than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoriaville Tigres, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Fleming J. (G)	20. D'Aigle G. (G)
74. Perron E. (A)	18. Kingsley S.
45. Clements H. (A)	92. Iasenza F. (A)
29. Goguen T.	71. Gendron J.
18. Belanger L.	22. Houde O.
91. Huggan C. (C)	9. Larose J. (A)
Line 2
2. Buteau F. (A)	44. Lepage M.
8. Laberge N.	25. Labre M.
56. Lallier A.	12. Simard E.
79. St-Onge M.	39. Lavigne M. (C)
7. Pilgrim-Edwards B.	8. Laverdiere O.
Line 3
70. MacGillivray C.	74. Leppa M.
71. Reynolds W.	72. Fortin L.
81. Sharkey D.	19. Bourque A.
98. Marmulak M.	17. Deslauriers S.
13. Arsenault L.	93. Vachon S.
Line 4
3. Daniele B.	86. Monaco M.
49. Gauthier L.	11. Houle M.
88. Coulombe D.	95. Rajala R.
Substitutes
31. Langevin M. (G)	37. Delisle A.
	33. Hanlan J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
01:13, 0 - 1, Houde O. (G), Gendron J. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
14:51, 0 - 2, Laverdiere O. (G), Simard E. (A), Fortin L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
11:02, 1 - 2, Belanger L. (G), Clements H. (A), Daniele B. (A2)
19:43, 2 - 2, Huggan C. (G), Lallier A. (A), Buteau F. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:51, 3 - 2, Huggan C. (G), Goguen T. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Acadie-Bathurst won 1.

Recent matches Acadie-Bathurst is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Victoriaville is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Acadie-Bathurst could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Acadie-Bathurst have a series of home games.

Acadie-Bathurst will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Acadie-Bathurst won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 75:63 (average 3.8:3.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Acadie-Bathurst won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 39:28 (average 3.9:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acadie-Bathurst Titan
QMJHL
11.10.24	Halifax Mooseheads - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	2:3 OT ✺
09.10.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Halifax Mooseheads	5:1 ✺
04.10.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Moncton Wildcats	1:5 ✺
03.10.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Saint John Sea Dogs	3:6 ✺
29.09.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Charlottetown Islanders	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLL
- Victoriaville Tigres
QMJHL
12.10.24	Saint John Sea Dogs - Victoriaville Tigres	6:5 penalties ✺
11.10.24	Charlottetown Islanders - Victoriaville Tigres	4:2 ✺
04.10.24	Victoriaville Tigres - Chicoutimi Sagueneens	4:7 ✺
29.09.24	Victoriaville Tigres - Quebec Remparts	1:9 ✺
27.09.24	Victoriaville Tigres - Rouyn-Noranda Huskies	7:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

QMJHL
12.01.24	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Victoriaville Tigres	7:8 OT
11.11.23	Victoriaville Tigres - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	5:4
04.12.22	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Victoriaville Tigres	2:3 OT
15.10.22	Victoriaville Tigres - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	6:1
17.02.22	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Victoriaville Tigres	7:1
11.02.22	Victoriaville Tigres - Acadie-Bathurst Titan	0:5
06.02.20	Acadie-Bathurst Titan - Victoriaville Tigres	0:3

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