Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Round 19

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Športni Park Podmežakla (Jesenice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Acroni Jesenice		Celje

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.55	5.55	Watch
	1.3	5.17	5.87
	1.35	5.51	6.31	Watch
	1.3	5.5	7
	1.34	5.65	5.97
	1.33	5.55	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.32)	5.49 ↑ (5.49)	6.04 ↓ (6.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Acroni Jesenice
68.5%

Draw
16.5%

Celje
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.6%

16.5%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

16.4%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

The chances for Celje have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Acroni Jesenice - Celje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Glavic B. (G)	30. Gajsek J. (G)
56. Seckar M. T.	43. Sillanpaa J.
51. Selan M.	17. Logar M.
20. Koblar G.	71. Berc M.
91. Cimzar T.	36. Tsarkovskyi D.
22. Svetina E.	14. Zezelj G.
Line 2
79. Lyons J.	21. Bernard J.
19. Sojer T.	3. Sirovnik N.
84. Slivnik L.	33. Sotlar J.
14. Lesnicar T.	26. Secen N.
42. Sturm J.	16. Mintautiskis M.
Line 3
8. Urukalo Z.	11. Grahut N.
71. Brus N.	19. Dolzan D.
72. Sillanpaa S.	13. Bukovec M.
55. Bohinc M.	2. Povse J.
10. Jenko J.	18. Jakupovic A.
Line 4
15. Slibar O.	8. Zorman Z.
88. Prostor A.	15. Sojer M.
5. Pecnik J.	22. Panasenko B.
13. Spari Leben Z.
77. Baloh D.
Substitutes
33. Us Z. (G)	41. Heiskanen A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:47, 1 - 0, Prostor A. (G), Baloh D. (A), Slibar O. (A2)
13:19, 1 - 1, Jakupovic A. (G), Mintautiskis M. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
07:55, 1 - 2, Logar M. (G), Povse J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Acroni Jesenice won 3.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Celje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Acroni Jesenice is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Acroni Jesenice to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Acroni Jesenice won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 42:25 (average 3.5:2.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Acroni Jesenice won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:11 (average 3.4:2.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Acroni Jesenice
Slovenian Hokejska Liga
26.11.24	Triglav Kranj - Acroni Jesenice	5:6 ✺
Alps Hockey League
23.11.24	Acroni Jesenice - Unterland Cavaliers	9:2 ✺
21.11.24	Zell am See - Acroni Jesenice	4:1 ✺
16.11.24	Acroni Jesenice - Cortina	3:1 ✺
14.11.24	Sisak - Acroni Jesenice	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL
- HK Celje
Alps Hockey League
24.11.24	Celje - Cortina	4:2 ✺
23.11.24	Celje - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
21.11.24	Ritten-Renon - Celje	7:1 ✺
16.11.24	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Celje	6:5 penalties ✺
03.11.24	Celje - Unterland Cavaliers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian Hokejska Liga
10.10.24	Celje - Acroni Jesenice	6:2
Alps Hockey League
17.02.24	Acroni Jesenice - Celje	4:6
27.01.24	Celje - Acroni Jesenice	1:2
Slovenian Hokejska Liga
24.10.23	Celje - Acroni Jesenice	2:3 penalties
16.09.23	Acroni Jesenice - Celje	6:1
07.10.19	Celje - Acroni Jesenice	3:14
24.03.16	Acroni Jesenice - Celje	3:0

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