Match Info

EUROPE: Alps Hockey League - Round 20

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Drsališče v Mestnem parku (Celje)


	Celje		Cortina

	1	X	2
	3.25	4.3	1.73	Watch
	3.19	4.29	1.8
	3.27	4.53	1.81	Watch
	3.3	4.33	1.75
	3.33	4.4	1.78
	3.25	4.3	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.87)	4.36 ↑ (4.32)	1.77 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje
27.8%

Draw
20.8%

Cortina
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

20.9%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

19.9%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Cortina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cortina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Celje - Cortina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
41. Heiskanen A. (G)	35. Hawkey H. (G)
17. Logar M.	67. Pietroniro K.
43. Sillanpaa J.	19. Ushnev N.
83. Kumanovic L.	24. Barnabo L.
71. Sodja Zalokar G.	93. Castlunger M.
14. Zezelj G.	29. Felicetti L.
Line 2
3. Sirovnik N.	77. Di Tomaso G.
21. Bernard J.	20. Colli A.
33. Sotlar J.	5. Sanna M.
26. Secen N.	22. Lehtonen W.
16. Mintautiskis M.	59. Saha M.
Line 3
68. Bohinc R.	44. Parini G.
11. Grahut N.	3. Forte F.
22. Panasenko B.	60. Zardini Lacedelli N.
36. Tsarkovskyi D.	76. Adami F.
15. Sojer M.	28. Alvera T.
Line 4
8. Zorman Z.	72. Faloppa D.
18. Jakupovic A.	12. Panciera G.
2. Povse J.	23. Pompanin F.
13. Bukovec M.	65. Toffoli G.
	36. De Luca A.
Substitutes
30. Gajsek J. (G)	90. Lancedelli S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
02:00, 0 - 1, Adami F. (G), Ushnev N. (A),
10:33, 1 - 1, Mintautiskis M. (G), Sillanpaa J. (A), Jakupovic A. (A2)
13:25, 2 - 1, Jakupovic A. (G), Povse J. (A), Sirovnik N. (A2)
14:00, 3 - 1, Bukovec M. (G), Grahut N. (A), Zezelj G. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:17, 3 - 2, Di Tomaso G. (G), Ushnev N. (A),
12:45, 4 - 2, Sojer M. (G), Logar M. (A), Panasenko B. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:51, 4 - 3, Lehtonen W. (G), Ushnev N. (A),

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Cortina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Cortina will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Celje won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:16 (average 2.8:4).

Including matches at home between the teams Celje won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:9 (average 2.5:4.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HK Celje
Slovenian Hokejska Liga
28.11.24	Acroni Jesenice - Celje	1:2 ✺
Alps Hockey League
24.11.24	Celje - Cortina	4:2 ✺
23.11.24	Celje - Gherdëina	3:4 ✺
21.11.24	Ritten-Renon - Celje	7:1 ✺
16.11.24	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Celje	6:5 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWLLL
- SG Cortina
Alps Hockey League
28.11.24	Cortina - Zell am See	6:0 ✺
24.11.24	Celje - Cortina	4:2 ✺
23.11.24	Sisak - Cortina	2:4 ✺
16.11.24	Acroni Jesenice - Cortina	3:1 ✺
14.11.24	Cortina - Merano Junior	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
24.11.24	Celje - Cortina	4:2
20.10.24	Cortina - Celje	2:3 penalties
01.11.23	Cortina - Celje	5:3
17.10.23	Celje - Cortina	1:7

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