Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Air Force Falcons		Mercyhurst Lakers

	1	X	2
	1.59	4.55	3.95
	1.61	4.45	3.96
	1.57	4.5	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)	4.5 ↓ (4.6)	3.92 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Air Force Falcons
56.9%

Draw
20.1%

Mercyhurst Lakers
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

19.7%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

20.1%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
3rd Period (3 - 2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Air Force is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Air Force will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 3.2:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Air Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 3.7:3).

Outrights of NCAA Hockey for now

Air Force Falcons: 0.47%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Air Force Falcons hockey
NCAA Hockey
13.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Air Force Falcons	4:2 ✺
06.02.26	Niagara Purple Eagles - Air Force Falcons	1:2 OT ✺
31.01.26	Air Force Falcons - Sacred Heart Pioneers	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Air Force Falcons - Sacred Heart Pioneers	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLWWW
- Mercyhurst Lakers hockey
NCAA Hockey
13.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties ✺
07.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Mercyhurst Lakers	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Sacred Heart Pioneers - Mercyhurst Lakers	5:1 ✺
31.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - RIT Tigers	1:3 ✺
30.01.26	Mercyhurst Lakers - RIT Tigers	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
13.02.26	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	3:4 penalties
19.11.23	Mercyhurst Lakers - Air Force Falcons	5:1
18.11.23	Mercyhurst Lakers - Air Force Falcons	2:5
04.02.23	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	4:2
03.02.23	Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers	4:3 OT
26.11.22	Mercyhurst Lakers - Air Force Falcons	4:2

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