Match Info

SWITZERLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Raiffeisen Arena (Porrentruy)


	Ajoie		La Chaux-de-Fonds

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	3.1	Watch
	2.2	4	2.65
	1.98	4.2	2.95
	2.06	4.04	2.69
	1.95	4	3
	2.15	4	2.82	Watch
	2.1	4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.55)	4.03 ↑ (3.79)	2.87 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajoie
44.8%

Draw
23%

La Chaux-de-Fonds
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

23.9%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

23.1%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajoie's performance.

La Chaux-de-Fonds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and La Chaux-de-Fonds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajoie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Chaux-de-Fonds than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that La Chaux-de-Fonds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ajoie - La Chaux de Fonds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

5th leg. Series tied 2-2.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajoie won 3.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

La Chaux-de-Fonds could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 74 head-to-head matches Ajoie won 43 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 30 matches and goals 258-205.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajoie won 23 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 133-101.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss National League Hockey
06.04.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	1:4 ✺
04.04.23	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	3:2 OT ✺
01.04.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	4:1 ✺
30.03.23	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	2:3 ✺
25.03.23	Ajoie - SCL Tigers	4:5 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL
- HC La Chaux-de-Fonds
Swiss National League Hockey
06.04.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	1:4 ✺
04.04.23	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	3:2 OT ✺
01.04.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	4:1 ✺
30.03.23	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	2:3 ✺
Swiss League Hockey
21.03.23	Olten - La Chaux-de-Fonds	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss National League Hockey
06.04.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	1:4
04.04.23	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	3:2 OT
01.04.23	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	4:1
30.03.23	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	2:3
Swiss League Hockey
03.03.21	La Chaux-de-Fonds - Ajoie	2:5
22.02.21	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	4:3 penalties
14.02.21	Ajoie - La Chaux-de-Fonds	4:1

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