Match Info

Date: 8 December 2020, Tuesday


	Ajoie		Thurgau

	1	X	2
	1.3	6	5.75
	1.3	6.5	5.75
	1.25	6.6	6.8
	1.29	6.27	4.99
	1.35	5.5	5.5
	1.33	5.85	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.55)	6.12 ↑ (4.85)	5.93 ↑ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajoie
69.8%

Draw
14.9%

Thurgau
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

18.7%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9%

15.7%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajoie's performance.

Thurgau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thurgau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Ajoie - Thurgau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Ajoie in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Thurgau is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Ajoie is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ajoie to win the game is with odds 1.3.

Last 42 head-to-head matches Ajoie won 23 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 19 matches and goals 135-108.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajoie won 15 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 80-46.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Ajoie
Swiss League Hockey
05.12.20	Winterthur - Ajoie	1:10 ✺
02.12.20	Sierre - Ajoie	3:7 ✺
29.11.20	Ajoie - Bellinzona Snakes	8:1 ✺
27.11.20	Academy Zug - Ajoie	2:6 ✺
24.11.20	Ajoie - Thurgau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW
- HC Thurgau
Swiss League Hockey
05.12.20	Thurgau - Academy Zug	0:4 ✺
02.12.20	Thurgau - GCK Lions	0:2 ✺
29.11.20	Winterthur - Thurgau	1:3 ✺
27.11.20	Thurgau - Langenthal	4:5 OT ✺
24.11.20	Ajoie - Thurgau	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss League Hockey
24.11.20	Ajoie - Thurgau	4:0
31.01.20	Thurgau - Ajoie	2:3
21.11.19	Ajoie - Thurgau	2:3
12.11.19	Ajoie - Thurgau	1:0
02.10.19	Thurgau - Ajoie	3:2
08.03.19	Ajoie - Thurgau	1:2
06.03.19	Thurgau - Ajoie	3:1

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