Match Info

KHL

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday

Location: Tatneft Arena (Kazan)


	Ak Bars Kazan		Sochi

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.6	6.1
	1.42	4.5	5.95
	1.48	4.9	6.63	Watch
	1.45	4.7	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	4.68 ↓ (4.9)	6.02 ↓ (6.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ak Bars Kazan
64.5%

Draw
20%

Sochi
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

19.8%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

20.7%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sochi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sochi (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Arefyev M. (G)	39. Shaimardanov D. (G)
96. Lyamkin N. (A)	62. Solyannikov G.
58. Miller M.	64. Graham J.
94. Semyonov K. (A)	29. Slepets K.
55. Chmelevski A.	77. Guskov M.
26. Sokolov Y.	97. Gusev N. (C)
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)	13. Belyakov Y.
28. Terekhov S.	76. Akhiyarov T.
59. Terekhov S.	10. Vengryzhanovsky D.
16. Zernov D.	15. Petukhov Y.
14. Denisenko G.	87. Khafizov T. (A)
Line 3
44. Yevseyev N.	74. Baldayev V.
33. Yarullin A.	88. Nikolayev I.
50. Komkov D.	9. Kagarlitsky D. (A)
29. Yakupov R.	18. Gizdatullin A.
22. Byvaltsev A.	90. Akolzin P.
Line 4
89. Dulnev A.	57. Guryev A.
91. Gimadiev A.	14. Polyakov N.
86. Dynyak N.	27. Korostelyov M.
23. Stas A.	89. Guslistov N.
Substitutes
82. Bilyalov T. (G)	31. Shchetilin A. (G)
92. Katelevsky D.
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.	. Mironov A.

Preview

A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 6th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 4.

Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.

Sochi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

The betting markets point to Ak Bars as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ak Bars has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:42 (averaging 3:2.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ak Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 25:12 goals (averaging 3.1:1.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
10.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4 ✺
05.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:3 ✺
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- HC Sochi
KHL
09.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	0:2 ✺
07.10.26	Sochi - Spartak Moscow	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Sochi - Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod	0:6 ✺
30.09.26	Sochi - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	6:3 ✺
28.09.26	Shanghai Dragons - Sochi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
18.09.26	Sochi - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2
18.03.26	Sochi - Ak Bars Kazan	2:4
13.03.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi	2:0
27.11.24	Sochi - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 OT
22.09.24	Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi	5:2
16.01.24	Sochi - Ak Bars Kazan	3:1
06.09.23	Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi	1:3

Ak Bars Kazan - Sochi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide