The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metallurg Magnitogorsk 51.6%
Draw 23.1%
Ak Bars Kazan 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.5%
21.7%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
21.3%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (+2%)
The ML Model estimate for Ak Bars Kazan aligns with the current prediction.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.9%
11.1%
0%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg M (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1 - Metallurg M (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 4.5, OT - over (1.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Metallurg Magnitogorsk will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%). Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Metallurg M (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
20. Smolin A. (G)
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
56. Khabarov M.
58. Miller M.
55. Provolnev V. (C)
96. Lyamkin N. (A)
29. Vovchenko D.
14. Denisenko G.
28. Tolchinsky S.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
27. Todd N.
95. Galimov A.
Line 2
9. Orekhov V.
32. Bardin I.
58. Zelenov Y.
53. Marchenko A. (C)
22. Iskhakov R.
22. Byvaltsev A.
19. Tkachev V. (A)
26. Sokolov Y.
14. Silantyev D.
59. Terekhov S.
Line 3
72. Minulin A.
33. Yarullin A.
74. Siryatsky A.
44. Yevseyev N.
39. Kozlov A.
55. Chmelevski A.
18. Starkov S.
71. Pustozyorov A.
11. Mikhailis N.
92. Katelevsky D.
Line 4
81. Rubin A.
89. Dulnev A.
94. Korobkin Y. (A)
23. Stas A.
93. Nechayev I.
29. Yakupov R.
96. Korotkov N.
86. Dynyak N.
Substitutes
84. Fyodorov M.
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)
30. Zavragin Y. (G)
Coaches
. Razin A.
. Gatiyatulin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
10:30, Tkachev V. (2 min),
18:11, 0 - 1, Semyonov K. (G), Terekhov S. (A), Yarullin A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
05:34, 1 - 1, Minulin A. (G), Siryatsky A. (A), Khabarov M. (A2)
06:47, Sokolov Y. (2 min),
08:49, 2 - 1, Vovchenko D. (G), Orekhov V. (A), Todd N. (A2)
13:30, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals) and 2nd in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg M won 2.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Ak Bars has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Metallurg M is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Metallurg M has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 49:62 (averaging 2.5:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Metallurg M against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 26:33 goals (averaging 2.6:3.3 per game).
Outrights of KHL for now
Bars Kazan: 6.96%
Last Results with these Odds
Metallurg Magnitogorsk - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 52.47%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.