Match Info

KHL

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Tatneft Arena (Kazan)


	Ak Bars Kazan		Barys Astana

	1	X	2
	1.90	3.69	3.65
	1.86	3.60	3.55
	1.75	4.22	4.19	Watch
	1.82	4.00	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)	3.88 ↓ (4.47)	3.74 ↑ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ak Bars Kazan
50.9%

Draw
24.1%

Barys Astana
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

21.7%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

21.2%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Barys Astana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	16.7%	16.7%

Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ak Bars will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barys will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ak Bars (votes: 1 - 50%). Barys (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
82. Bilyalov T. (G)	43. Shutov A. (G)
58. Miller M.	2. Massie J. (A)
96. Lyamkin N. (A)	71. Daniyar Sam. (A)
59. Terekhov S.	12. Logvin V.
94. Semyonov K. (A)	29. Lyapunov K.
14. Denisenko G.	70. Simonov S.
Line 2
53. Marchenko A. (C)	3. McCoshen I.
32. Bardin I.	26. Day L.
26. Sokolov Y.	8. Bailey J.
22. Byvaltsev A.	11. Morelli M.
55. Chmelevski A.	14. Pilon G.
Line 3
33. Yarullin A.	4. Priskie C.
44. Yevseyev N.	7. Britikov D.
29. Yakupov R.	9. Thompson T.
23. Stas A.	13. Kaiyrzhan D.
37. Bykov M.	17. Omirbekov A.
Line 4
89. Dulnev A.	19. Orazov B.
71. Pustozyorov A.	10. Alibek A.
92. Katelevsky D.	64. Shestakov A.
86. Dynyak N.	84. Savitsky K. (C)
Substitutes
73. Kolomytsev I.	77. Shaikhmeddenov A.
40. Stolpechenkov A. (G)	32. Shepard H. (G)
Coaches
. Gatiyatulin A.	. Kravets M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
08:53, 0 - 1, Logvin V. (G), Day L. (A), Simonov S. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:54, 1 - 1, Katelevsky D. (G), Yakupov R. (A),
03:20, 2 - 1, Denisenko G. (G), Yarullin A. (A), Yevseyev N. (A2)
04:14, 3 - 1, Miller M. (G), Lyamkin N. (A), Yakupov R. (A2)
04:14, Shutov A. ↓, Shepard H. ↑,
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:50, (2 min),
10:40, Dynyak N. (2 min),
14:58, Byvaltsev A. (2 min),
19:14, 4 - 1, Semyonov K. (G), Denisenko G. (A), Yarullin A. (A2)
20:00, Thompson T. (5 min),
20:00, Lyamkin N. (2 min),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ KHL Playoffs1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 5.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ak Bars could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Ak Bars has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Ak Bars is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ak Bars in today's match, at odds of 1.83.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ak Bars has recorded 16 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:31 (averaging 3.2:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ak Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 38:22 goals (averaging 3.5:2 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Bars Kazan: 6.96% Barys Astana: 0.77%

Last Results with these Odds

Barys Astana - the odds 3.72 are the expected chance of winning is 26.09%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
26.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
21.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:2 AET ✺
18.09.26	Sochi - Ak Bars Kazan	3:2 ✺
16.09.26	Salavat Yulaev Ufa - Ak Bars Kazan	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLW
- Barys Astana
KHL
27.09.26	Barys Astana - SKA Saint Petersburg	3:5 ✺
26.09.26	Barys Astana - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:6 ✺
22.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Barys Astana	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Lokomotiv Yaroslavl - Barys Astana	0:5 ✺
18.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
08.01.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	3:1
18.10.25	Barys Astana - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties
07.10.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:3
25.09.25	Barys Astana - Ak Bars Kazan	1:2
20.03.25	Barys Astana - Ak Bars Kazan	0:8
11.01.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	5:4 OT
05.11.24	Barys Astana - Ak Bars Kazan	1:2 penalties

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