Match Info

KHL

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday

Location: Tatneft Arena (Kazan)


	Ak Bars Kazan		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.06	3.67	3.20
	2.01	3.55	3.10
	2.15	4.29	3.01	Watch
	2.00	3.95	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)	3.87 ↓ (4.38)	3.07 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ak Bars Kazan
45.4%

Draw
24.1%

Severstal Cherepovets
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

22.2%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

22.3%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ak Bars Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Severstal (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 5th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - KHL Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ak Bars won 2.

Ak Bars has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Severstal shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Ak Bars could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Ak Bars is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ak Bars has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:54 (averaging 2.8:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ak Bars against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 36:29 goals (averaging 3:2.4 per game).

Outrights of KHL for now

Bars Kazan: 6.96%

Last Results with these Odds

Ak Bars Kazan - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 47.59%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 30.24%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ak Bars Kazan
KHL
05.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Lokomotiv Yaroslavl	0:2 ✺
02.10.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:3 ✺
30.09.26	Ak Bars Kazan - Barys Astana	4:1 ✺
26.09.26	Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:1 ✺
24.09.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Ak Bars Kazan	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWLW
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
08.10.26	Torpedo Nizhny Novgorod - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
06.10.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:5 ✺
03.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Shanghai Dragons	2:1 OT ✺
01.10.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Admiral Vladivostok	3:4 penalties ✺
26.09.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Sochi	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

KHL
16.03.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan	4:2
30.12.25	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	4:3 penalties
30.12.24	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3
23.11.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan	7:5
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
23.08.24	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	3:0
KHL
05.12.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Ak Bars Kazan	4:1
03.10.23	Ak Bars Kazan - Severstal Cherepovets	1:4

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