Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves		Arizona State Sun Devils

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.75	1.91
	2.99	3.62	2.25
	2.99	3.62	2.25
	2.69	4.05	2.12
	2.7	3.85	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.2)	3.78 ↓ (3.99)	2.12 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves
31.8%

Draw
24.5%

Arizona State Sun Devils
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

23.3%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

25.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Arizona State Sun Devils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arizona State Sun Devils than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arizona State Sun Devils could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Alaska-Anchorage is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Arizona State is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arizona State will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alaska-Anchorage won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Alaska-Anchorage won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves hockey
NCAA Hockey
08.03.24	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Arizona State Sun Devils	4:3 ✺
02.03.24	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Stonehill Skyhawks	12:2 ✺
01.03.24	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Stonehill Skyhawks	9:3 ✺
24.02.24	Augustana Vikings - Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves	3:0 ✺
23.02.24	Augustana Vikings - Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves	5:6 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW
- Arizona State Sun Devils hockey
NCAA Hockey
08.03.24	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Arizona State Sun Devils	4:3 ✺
02.03.24	Arizona State Sun Devils - Long Island Sharks	4:3 ✺
01.03.24	Arizona State Sun Devils - Long Island Sharks	4:2 ✺
24.02.24	Alaska Nanooks - Arizona State Sun Devils	3:4 ✺
23.02.24	Alaska Nanooks - Arizona State Sun Devils	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA Hockey
08.03.24	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Arizona State Sun Devils	4:3
19.11.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves	0:3
17.11.23	Arizona State Sun Devils - Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves	4:3
04.03.23	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Arizona State Sun Devils	4:3
03.03.23	Alaska-Anchorage Seawolves - Arizona State Sun Devils	0:5

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