Match Info

IHL - Winners stage - Round 1

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Alleghe		Aosta

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.6	4.33
	1.6	4.9	3.73
	1.45	4.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.75 (4.75)	4.19 ↑ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 8.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alleghe
59.8%

Draw
18.8%

Aosta
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

19%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alleghe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Aosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alleghe - Aosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:24, 0 - 1, McNally B. (G), Fraschetta G. (A),
15:33, 0 - 2, Dube-Plouffe D. (G), Nardella N. (A), Lysenko V. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
12:12, 1 - 2, Viikila J. (G), Alessio E. (A), De Nardin M. (A2)
18:02, 1 - 3, Nardella N. (G), Dube-Plouffe D. (A), Lysenko V. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 1)
02:27, 1 - 4, Badoglio T. (G), McNally B. (A), Fraschetta G. (A2)
07:47, 2 - 4, Viikila J. (G), Iori D. (A),
09:28, 3 - 4, Iori D. (G), Alexandrov A. (A), Huhtela A. (A2)
16:37, 4 - 4, Huhtela A. (G), Alexandrov A. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 3)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

Aosta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alleghe is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alleghe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Including home match between the teams, Alleghe won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Aosta	4	4	0	0	0	17:6	12
6	Alleghe	3	1	0	1	1	12:12	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Alleghe
Italian IHL
03.01.26	Alleghe - Kaltern	6:2 ✺
29.11.25	Varese - Alleghe	2:5 ✺
22.11.25	Falcons Bressanone - Alleghe	3:6 ✺
15.11.25	Valpellice - Alleghe	5:6 ✺
08.11.25	Kaltern - Alleghe	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 WWWWL
- HC Aosta
Italian IHL
02.01.26	Fassa - Aosta	6:2 ✺
23.12.25	Aosta - Valpellice	6:3 ✺
22.11.25	Kaltern - Aosta	4:1 ✺
20.11.25	Aosta - Pergine	4:0 ✺
15.11.25	Aosta - Eppan Pirates	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian IHL
07.12.24	Alleghe - Aosta	4:5 OT

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