The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alleghe 29.4%
Draw 20.3%
Fassa 50.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.9%
20.6%
50.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.6%
21.3%
52.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alleghe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Fassa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alleghe than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fassa than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
11:00, 1 - 0, Iori D. (G), Zardini Lacedelli N. (A), Gabri R. (A2)
18:09, 2 - 0, DeNoble L. (G), Cruseman F. (A), Alessio E. (A2)
18:38, 3 - 0, De Luca A. (G), Iori D. (A), Da Tos M. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
01:23, 3 - 1, Vinatzer G. (G), Defrancesco M. (A), Vigl A. (A2)
02:08, 4 - 1, DeNoble L. (G), Levis T. (A), Cruseman F. (A2)
05:20, 5 - 1, Iori D. (G), DeNoble L. (A), De Luca A. (A2)
18:14, 6 - 1, Alexandrov A. (G), De Luca A. (A), DeNoble L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
02:28, 7 - 1, Alessio G. (G), Cruseman F. (A), Alexandrov A. (A2)
08:24, 7 - 2, Mikhnov A. (G), Berger N. (A), Sibilevych D. (A2)
17:36, 8 - 2, Iori D. (G), Alexandrov A. (A), Soppelsa N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alleghe won 3.
Alleghe has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Fassa is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Fassa could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Alleghe has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 22:13 (averaging 2.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alleghe against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 15:6 goals (averaging 3.8:1.5 per game).
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