Match Info

Championship

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday

Location: Baluan Sholak Sports Palace (Almaty)


	Almaty		Aktobe

	1	X	2
	1.30	5.75	6.00
	1.35	5.30	5.80	Watch
	1.31	5.6	6.9	Watch
	1.26	5.40	7.45
	1.28	5.95	6.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.32)	5.6 ↑ (5.38)	6.58 ↑ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaty
69.9%

Draw
16.2%

Aktobe
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

16.9%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

17.4%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaty has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Aktobe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaty than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Almaty - Aktobe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 5:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
90. Pavlov A. (G)	50. Dubovich M. (G)
4. Allamov D.	77. Aipov G.
10. Atakhanov D. (A)	42. Alexandrov S. (C)
55. Belous V.	98. Astrakhantsev G.
11. Burdelyov A. (A)	10. Bazanov M.
53. Dervuk I.	91. Kairgeldy A.
96. Dvurechensky R.	86. Kalinichenko M.
79. Dyachenko D.	24. Khomenko Y.
91. Fokin Y.	4. Kiselyov D. (A)
98. Gabdullin D.	8. Komarov V. (A)
17. Korchagin V.	7. Kozorez A.
51. Litovchenko V.	21. Kursakbayev R.
78. Meirman R.	71. Makhamadeev D.
8. Olshansky S.	17. Omelkovets D.
13. Petrakov I.	97. Plotnikov V.
42. Petrasyuk M.	66. Polenov M.
88. Rymarev Y. (C)	28. Shaikenov Y.
72. Saparbek D.	14. Shpak A.
81. Svintalskiy D.	74. Tribunsky K.
68. Tarasov M.	23. Zakharov Z.
Substitutes
35. Shpilev A. (G)	31. Kostyukov I. (G)
	90. Sharipov A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
10:01, 1 - 0, Svintalskiy D. (G), Korchagin V. (A), Dervuk I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
08:48, 2 - 0, Petrakov I. (G), Litovchenko V. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaty won 4.

Almaty has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Aktobe is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Aktobe may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aktobe has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Almaty holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Almaty has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:57 (averaging 3.2:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Almaty against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 37:32 goals (averaging 3.1:2.7 per game).

Outrights of Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship for now

Almaty: 0.79% Aktobe: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Almaty	16	6	2	0	8	44:52	16
9	Aktobe	16	2	0	1	13	41:81	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Almaty
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
23.09.26	Almaty - Aktobe	5:2 ✺
17.09.26	Almaty - Saryarka	2:5 ✺
16.09.26	Almaty - Saryarka	6:3 ✺
11.09.26	Nomad - Almaty	6:1 ✺
10.09.26	Nomad - Almaty	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWLL
- HK Aktobe
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
23.09.26	Almaty - Aktobe	5:2 ✺
20.09.26	Aktobe - Nomad	3:5 ✺
19.09.26	Aktobe - Nomad	3:6 ✺
12.09.26	Aktobe - Arlan Kokshetau	4:5 ✺
11.09.26	Aktobe - Arlan Kokshetau	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
23.09.26	Almaty - Aktobe	5:2
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
15.08.26	Aktobe - Almaty	3:2
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
30.01.26	Almaty - Aktobe	4:1
29.01.26	Almaty - Aktobe	2:0
19.10.25	Aktobe - Almaty	1:4
18.10.25	Aktobe - Almaty	1:3
13.09.25	Almaty - Aktobe	3:4 penalties

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