Match Info

MHL

Date: 14 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Almaz		AKM-Junior

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.79	4.89	Watch
	1.47	4.75	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	4.77 ↑ (4.75)	4.7 ↑ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
61.4%

Draw
19.1%

AKM-Junior
19.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

19%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

21.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

AKM-Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM-Junior than the current prediction. (+5%)

Almaz - AKM Junior Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Almaz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Almaz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Almaz won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 47:25. (average 4.3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Almaz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 3.5:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

AKM-Junior - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 21.76%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
10.01.26	Dinamo-Shinnik - Almaz	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Dinamo-Shinnik - Almaz	3:4 ✺
26.12.25	Almaz - Dinamo-Shinnik	1:2 ✺
24.12.25	Almaz - Dinamo-Shinnik	3:1 ✺
21.12.25	Almaz - Tolpar	3:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.2 WWLWL
- AKM-Junior
MHL
11.01.26	AKM-Junior - Krasnaya Armiya	0:4 ✺
06.01.26	Spartak MAX - AKM-Junior	3:4 ✺
28.12.25	AKM-Junior - Red Machine Junior	6:2 ✺
24.12.25	Tayfun - AKM-Junior	5:1 ✺
23.12.25	Tayfun - AKM-Junior	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
17.09.25	AKM-Junior - Almaz	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
22.08.25	AKM-Junior - Almaz	5:2
31.07.25	Almaz - AKM-Junior	1:0
MHL
15.02.25	AKM-Junior - Almaz	2:5
11.12.24	Almaz - AKM-Junior	6:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
20.08.24	AKM-Junior - Almaz	1:4
25.07.24	AKM-Junior - Almaz	4:3

Almaz - AKM-Junior