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Current Win Probability
SKA-Akademiya 18.6%
Draw 20.7%
Almaz 60.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
29.9%
22.7%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.1%
23%
47.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SKA-Akademiya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that SKA-Akademiya's form might have worsened.
Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Almaz's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Akademiya than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SKA-Akademiya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
SKA Akademiya - Almaz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
75. Perov A. (G)
94. Melchakov A. (G)
28. Sozinov M. (A)
4. Smirnov I.
19. Mironov V.
19. Gusev M.
17. Kovtun A.
91. Perminov T. (A)
91. Lvov N. (C)
72. Kalinin T. (C)
7. Samoilov A. (A)
25. Okunev I.
Line 2
11. Dzhavadov S.
98. Gulenok T. (A)
14. Makeev M.
92. Konovalov M.
23. Shapovalov A.
27. Savin V.
72. Chermnykh D.
9. Volzhenkov L.
97. Grakhov Y.
53. Denezhkin V.
Line 3
29. Kovalyov M.
41. Korsakov A.
18. Mikulchik O.
96. Zakharov I.
57. Arutyunov R.
34. Gaponov L.
86. Ryabov M.
38. Khomitsky V.
27. Kireyev A.
44. Bayushev G.
Line 4
77. Krasavchikov Y.
45. Sobolev S.
12. Khodeyev Y.
86. Kopyltsov I.
98. Yadovin Y.
46. Maslov M.
39. Bruver G.
58. Biryukov V.
94. Stryukov A.
56. Vasilevsky B.
Substitutes
70. Popov I. (G)
36. Lvov S. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
01:19, 1 - 0, Kovalyov M. (G), Arutyunov R. (A), Ryabov M. (A2)
11:37, 1 - 1, Biryukov V. (G), Maslov M. (A), Gulenok T. (A2)
19:57, 1 - 2, Sobolev S. (G), Gulenok T. (A), Okunev I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
04:54, 1 - 3, Okunev I. (G), Denezhkin V. (A), Konovalov M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:13, 2 - 3, Grakhov Y. (G), Samoilov A. (A), Dzhavadov S. (A2)
19:23, 2 - 4, Okunev I. (G), Khomitsky V. (A), Melchakov A. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SKA-Akademiya won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Almaz could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, SKA-Akademiya has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Bookmakers give the edge to Almaz for this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, SKA-Akademiya has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:38 (averaging 2.1:4.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for SKA-Akademiya against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 9:22 goals (averaging 1.5:3.7 per game).
Watch
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Perov A. (G) 
Mikulchik O. 
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