Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL

Date: 16 February 2023, Thursday


	Almaz		SKA-Varyagi

	1	X	2
	1.25	6.98	7.86
	1.23	6.7	8.4	Watch
	1.25	6	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.41)	6.56 ↑ (5.6)	8.09 ↑ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almaz
74.4%

Draw
14.1%

SKA-Varyagi
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

16.7%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

16.4%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Almaz's performance.

SKA-Varyagi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-Varyagi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Almaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-Varyagi than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-Varyagi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Almaz - SKA Varyagi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almaz won 5.

Recent matches Almaz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

SKA-Varyagi has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

SKA-Varyagi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Almaz is absolute favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Almaz won 14 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 68-38.

Including matches at home between the teams Almaz won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 31-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
14.02.23	Almaz - Dinamo-Karelia	3:0 ✺
09.02.23	MHC Spartak - Almaz	5:6 ✺
08.02.23	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:1 ✺
06.02.23	Russkie Vityazi - Almaz	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Russkie Vityazi - Almaz	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLLL
- SKA-Varyagi
MHL
14.02.23	Loko - SKA-Varyagi	3:1 ✺
06.02.23	Amurskie Tigry - SKA-Varyagi	7:0 ✺
05.02.23	Amurskie Tigry - SKA-Varyagi	7:3 ✺
02.02.23	Sakhalinskie Akuly - SKA-Varyagi	5:2 ✺
01.02.23	Sakhalinskie Akuly - SKA-Varyagi	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
15.12.22	SKA-Varyagi - Almaz	0:5
12.01.22	SKA-Varyagi - Almaz	1:5
11.01.22	SKA-Varyagi - Almaz	4:6
17.09.21	Almaz - SKA-Varyagi	4:2
16.09.21	Almaz - SKA-Varyagi	5:3
17.12.20	Almaz - SKA-Varyagi	3:1
16.12.20	Almaz - SKA-Varyagi	3:1

Almaz - SKA-Varyagi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide