Match Info

MHL

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	MHC Spartak		Almaz

	1	X	2
	1.41	5.3	5.5
	1.42	5.05	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.6)	5.18 ↑ (5.1)	5.43 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MHC Spartak
65.2%

Draw
17.8%

Almaz
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

18.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

19%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MHC Spartak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MHC Spartak's performance.

Almaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MHC Spartak than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almaz than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almaz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

MHC Spartak - Almaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Kuzmenko Y. (G)	50. Bogatyrev B. (G)
32. Bondar V.	98. Gulenok T.
57. Ukhmylov V.	43. Kichigin N.
16. Filimonov M.	81. Kazulayev D. (A)
15. Seldemirov M.	80. Volzhenkov L.
19. Plesovskikh A. (C)	3. Ulyanov V.
Line 2
93. Matveyev V. (A)	90. Ivanov I.
22. Malkov A.	71. Korzin A. (C)
39. Rybenok S.	92. Prishchepa I.
10. Yakunin Y. (A)	11. Kalinin T.
95. Sysoyev D.	24. Denezhkin V. (A)
Line 3
77. Beny Y.	4. Smirnov I.
49. Dronov N.	14. Istomin L.
81. Kochurov D.	93. Muminov L.
38. Kotlyarov I.	44. Bayushev G.
7. Ilyin A.	91. Perminov T.
Line 4
9. Babkin I.	78. Semenov N.
61. Oblashchikov I.	79. Zakharov I.
28. Rakcheyev N.	37. Savin V.
13. Bykov A.	76. Golovanov M.
21. Belugin I.	36. Konovalov M.
Substitutes
50. Ivanov Y. (G)	60. Filimonov Y. (G)
1. Kotov S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:43, 1 - 0, Kochurov D. (G), Yakunin Y. (A), Malkov A. (A2)
04:43, 1 - 1, Korzin A. (G), Ivanov I. (A), Kalinin T. (A2)
06:27, 2 - 1, Sysoyev D. (G), Filimonov M. (A), Babkin I. (A2)
12:42, 2 - 2, Bayushev G. (G), Kazulayev D. (A), Prishchepa I. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:23, 2 - 3, Kazulayev D. (G), Volzhenkov L. (A), Gulenok T. (A2)
15:20, 3 - 3, Filimonov M. (G), Seldemirov M. (A), Bondar V. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:55, 4 - 3, Filimonov M. (G), Kotlyarov I. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, MHC Spartak won 4.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Almaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Almaz has had a series of away games.

In this match, MHC Spartak is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, MHC Spartak won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 76:58. (average 3.8:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, MHC Spartak won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:34. (average 4.1:3.1).

Last Results with these Odds

MHC Spartak - the odds 1.6 are the expected chance of winning is 58.52%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Almaz - the odds 4.05 are the expected chance of winning is 23.12%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Spartak
MHL
15.11.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:1 ✺
11.11.25	MHC Spartak - Loko	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	MHC Spartak - Loko	2:4 ✺
29.10.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - MHC Spartak	4:2 ✺
28.10.25	Dinamo-Shinnik - MHC Spartak	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLLLL
- Almaz Cherepovets
MHL
15.11.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:1 ✺
12.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Almaz	7:4 ✺
11.11.25	Krasnaya Armiya - Almaz	5:1 ✺
06.11.25	Almaz - Dinamo-Karelia	2:4 ✺
03.11.25	Atlant - Almaz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
15.11.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:1
11.03.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	5:2
10.03.25	MHC Spartak - Almaz	8:6
29.11.24	Almaz - MHC Spartak	3:1
28.11.24	Almaz - MHC Spartak	1:4
20.01.24	MHC Spartak - Almaz	2:3
18.01.24	MHC Spartak - Almaz	4:1

MHC Spartak - Almaz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide