Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 26 January 2026, Monday

Location: Gränby ishall (Uppsala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Hockey, TV4 Play


	Almtuna IS		Kalmar

	1	X	2
	5.25	5.25	1.46
	5	4.9	1.53
	4.18	4.32	1.46
	4.89	4.99	1.5	Watch
	4.43	5.35	1.48	Watch
	5.25	5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.38)	4.97 ↑ (4.59)	1.48 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almtuna IS
19.1%

Draw
18.6%

Kalmar
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

20.2%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

21.5%

55.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almtuna IS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kalmar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kalmar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Almtuna IS - Kalmar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Andren V. (G)	31. Malmqvist C. (G)
23. Hakansson W.	19. Sustr A.
33. Asplund O.	20. Walford S.
14. Oby-Olsen M.	90. Hawel L.
71. Stockselius L.	63. Fonteyne M.
15. Danielsson L.	21. Struthers M.
Line 2
3. Hammarlund E.	27. Nilsson H. (C)
9. Burger E.	15. Lerby C. (A)
18. Eriksson A.	73. Johansson V.
29. Smith L.	86. Estephan G.
21. Wersall M.	14. Diaco G.
Line 3
36. Lereback L. (A)	5. Aronsson T.
4. Aronsson V. (C)	9. Westlund W.
10. Forslund C.	68. Levin E.
40. Ohlsson A.	50. Ekmark E.
96. Proos W.	43. Eckmyhl W.
Line 4
50. Udd A.	71. Olsson G. (A)
20. Thulin J.	11. Wigley M.
17. Pentler O.	94. Storm A.
13. Schlyter F. (A)
Substitutes
90. Gronhagen J.	65. Crespin J. (G)
1. Liv H. (G)
Coaches
. Ragnarsson M.	. Tuurala V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
01:27, 0 - 1, Diaco G. (G), Hawel L. (A), Lerby C. (A2)
17:29, 1 - 1, Proos W. (G), Forslund C. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:58, 2 - 1, Lereback L. (G), Forslund C. (A), Ohlsson A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almtuna won 2.

Almtuna has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kalmar is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Almtuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kalmar is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Almtuna won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:37. (average 2.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Almtuna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 19:14. (average 3.8:2.8).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Kalmar: 9.51% Almtuna: 0.95%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Kalmar	9	6	1	1	1	32:20	21
6	Almtuna	9	4	1	1	3	28:24	15

Last Results with these Odds

Almtuna IS - the odds 4.38 are the expected chance of winning is 21.16%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almtuna IS
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
23.01.26	Vimmerby - Almtuna IS	2:3 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Troja Ljungby - Almtuna IS	0:6 ✺
16.01.26	Mora - Almtuna IS	4:3 OT ✺
14.01.26	Almtuna IS - Oskarshamn	1:3 ✺
09.01.26	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLLL
- Kalmar HC
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
23.01.26	Kalmar - BIK Karlskoga	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Kalmar - Nybro Vikings	4:0 ✺
19.01.26	Kalmar - Mora	6:3 ✺
16.01.26	AIK - Kalmar	1:4 ✺
14.01.26	Björklöven - Kalmar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
07.01.26	Kalmar - Almtuna IS	0:1 penalties
07.12.25	Kalmar - Almtuna IS	6:1
19.09.25	Almtuna IS - Kalmar	4:1
29.01.25	Almtuna IS - Kalmar	3:6
24.01.25	Kalmar - Almtuna IS	3:2 OT
18.11.24	Kalmar - Almtuna IS	4:2
04.10.24	Almtuna IS - Kalmar	3:2

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