Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 30 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gränby ishall (Uppsala)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Almtuna IS		Södertälje

	1	X	2
	2.85	4.25	2.01
	2.80	4.25	2.05
	2.93	4.02	2.14
	2.75	3.9	2.06
	3.09	4.39	1.93	Watch
	2.7	3.85	2.03
	2.85	3.95	2.06	Watch
	2.85	4	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (3.1)	4.08 ↑ (3.94)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almtuna IS
32.3%

Draw
22.6%

Södertälje
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

22.7%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

24.1%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almtuna IS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Almtuna IS - Södertälje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Forslund T. (G)	73. Harenstam L. (G)
33. Asplund O.	82. Laavainen R.
71. Ragnarsson J.	27. Norbe D. (A)
10. Forslund C.	8. Fizer T.
34. Sterner K.	21. Stevens N. (C)
91. Vesterlund L.	18. Souch C.
Line 2
3. Hammarlund E.	29. Hakansson W.
4. Aronsson V. (A)	4. Nilsson N.
8. Osmanis B.	95. Vayrynen T.
40. Ohlsson A.	19. Muzito-Bagenda D.
96. Jarbsjo M.	91. Vanderbeck A.
Line 3
54. Wernquist N.	44. Arell N. (A)
9. Degnell E.	5. Lundgren J.
16. Sundqvist L.	23. Polin E.
75. Pecirep W.	16. Ikonen J.
92. Salonen S. (A)	88. Holst-Persson F.
Line 4
36. Lereback L. (A)	74. Carell F.
22. Johansson V.	71. Olsson G.
17. Pentler O.	9. Harlestam H. (A)
13. Schlyter F. (C)	28. Hesselvall A.
Substitutes
30. Havelid H. (G)	35. Munther T. (G)
29. Smith L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
10:09, 1 - 0, Osmanis B. (G), Forslund C. (A), Sterner K. (A2)
16:42, 2 - 0, Salonen S. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
05:29, 3 - 0, Jarbsjo M. (G), Ohlsson A. (A), Wernquist N. (A2)
16:03, 4 - 0, Ohlsson A. (G), Salonen S. (A), Jarbsjo M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almtuna won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Almtuna may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Södertälje is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Almtuna has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:59 (averaging 2:3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Almtuna against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 17:25 goals (averaging 1.9:2.8 per game).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Sodertalje: 17.42% Almtuna: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Sodertalje	9	4	1	1	3	30:23	15
6	Almtuna	9	4	1	1	3	28:24	15

Last Results with these Odds

Almtuna IS - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.84%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Almtuna IS
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
27.09.26	Leksand - Almtuna IS	3:2 ✺
25.09.26	Almtuna IS - BIK Karlskoga	2:4 ✺
23.09.26	Östersund - Almtuna IS	2:3 penalties ✺
19.09.26	Almtuna IS - Modo	4:5 penalties ✺
18.09.26	Västerås - Almtuna IS	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWLW
- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
26.09.26	Södertälje - Oskarshamn	3:4 penalties ✺
25.09.26	Södertälje - AIK	4:5 ✺
23.09.26	Västerås - Södertälje	0:4 ✺
20.09.26	Södertälje - Visby Roma	6:2 ✺
18.09.26	Leksand - Södertälje	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
06.02.26	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	1:4
09.01.26	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	4:7
21.11.25	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	2:1
17.10.25	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	1:2 penalties
28.02.25	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	0:2
19.01.25	Södertälje - Almtuna IS	3:1
27.11.24	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	1:3

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