The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Almtuna IS 38.8%
Draw 22.8%
Västerås 38.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39%
22.8%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.3%
24.1%
34.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Almtuna IS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Västerås has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almtuna IS than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Västerås than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Almtuna IS - Västerås Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
1. Forslund T. (G)
39. Hakansson O. (G)
75. Blixt H.
64. Pennerborn V.
33. Asplund O.
10. Jansson Lorek J. (A)
23. Bartholdsson N.
27. Jakobsson C.
34. Sterner K.
77. Birgersson O.
91. Vesterlund L. (A)
41. Johansson F.
Line 2
54. Wernquist N.
92. Gunnarsson D. (A)
3. Hammarlund E.
29. Lundin O.
8. Osmanis B.
28. Zetterberg L.
40. Ohlsson A.
21. Keilin T. (A)
96. Jarbsjo M.
18. Falk S.
Line 3
36. Lereback L. (A)
59. Myllari A.
9. Degnell E.
43. Arvedson A.
10. Forslund C.
16. Pantzare V.
29. Smith L.
13. Bertals M.
13. Schlyter F. (C)
88. Hellstrom F.
Line 4
5. Proos A.
60. Lundgren N. (C)
16. Sundqvist L.
17. Ekholm E.
17. Pentler O.
19. Edvardsen S. A.
92. Salonen S. (A)
14. Engstrom L.
Substitutes
30. Havelid H. (G)
30. Oschgan B. (G)
22. Johansson V.
11. Wengrud A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Zetterberg L. (Penalty Shot),
1, Osmanis B. (Penalty Shot),
2, Jakobsson C. (Penalty Shot),
2, Bartholdsson N. (Penalty Shot),
3, Hellstrom F. (Penalty Shot),
3, Forslund C. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 9th in the Promotion - HockeyAllsvenskan Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almtuna won 4.
Recent results have been tough for Almtuna (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Västerås have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Recently, Västerås has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Almtuna has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:47 (averaging 2.5:2.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Almtuna against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 20:14 goals (averaging 2.2:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
10
Almtuna
16
5
2
1
8
39:54
20
11
Vasteras
16
4
2
3
7
40:45
19
Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now
Almtuna: 1.68% Vasteras: 0.84%
Last Results with these Odds
Almtuna IS - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.
Västerås - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 38.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.