Match Info

Date: 18 October 2021, Monday


	Altai-Torpedo		Ertis Pavlodar

	1	X	2
	1.5	5.25	4
	1.5	5.25	4
	1.5	4.5	4.4
	1.51	5.22	3.83
	1.5	5.5	4
	1.44	5.2	5.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (2.11)	5.15 ↑ (3.93)	4.28 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Altai-Torpedo
61.1%

Draw
17.7%

Ertis Pavlodar
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

23.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

17.4%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Altai-Torpedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Altai-Torpedo's performance.

Ertis Pavlodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ertis Pavlodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Altai-Torpedo than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Altai-Torpedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ertis Pavlodar than the current prediction. (+23.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ertis Pavlodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Altai Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar Predictions

Users Predictions: Altai-Torpedo will win (32 of 36 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.62% – 99.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

The competitors look crappy now.

Ertis Pavlodar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Ertis Pavlodar have a series of home games.

In this match Altai-Torpedo is a favorite.

Last 36 head-to-head matches Altai-Torpedo won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 24 matches and goals 88-139.

Including matches at home between the teams Altai-Torpedo won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 44-60.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Altai-Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
17.10.21	Altai-Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar	7:2 ✺
11.10.21	Altai-Torpedo - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	1:3 ✺
10.10.21	Altai-Torpedo - Torpedo Ust-Kamenogorsk	3:6 ✺
02.10.21	Saryarka - Altai-Torpedo	3:1 ✺
01.10.21	Saryarka - Altai-Torpedo	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- HC Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
17.10.21	Altai-Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar	7:2 ✺
06.10.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Arystan Temirtau	2:4 ✺
05.10.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Arystan Temirtau	3:4 OT ✺
02.10.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Gornyak Rudny	6:4 ✺
01.10.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Gornyak Rudny	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
17.10.21	Altai-Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar	7:2
02.03.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai-Torpedo	3:6
01.03.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai-Torpedo	1:7
Kazakh Ice Hockey Cup
30.01.21	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai-Torpedo	1:2 OT
Kazakh Ice Hockey Championship
24.11.20	Altai-Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar	3:0
23.11.20	Altai-Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar	0:3
20.02.20	Ertis Pavlodar - Altai-Torpedo	2:3

Altai-Torpedo - Ertis Pavlodar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide