The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ambrì-Piotta 33.9%
Draw 21.8%
Fribourg-Gottéron 44.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.7%
21.8%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
22.9%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ambrì-Piotta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ambrì-Piotta's form might have worsened.
Fribourg-Gottéron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fribourg-Gottéron's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ambrì-Piotta than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Ambrì Piotta - Fribourg Gottéron Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Ambrì-Piotta will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fribourg-Gottéron will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Wuthrich P. (G)
35. Waeber L. (G)
59. Wuthrich D.
12. Nemeth P.
86. Pezzullo R.
33. Johnson L.
88. De Luca T. (C)
22. Bertschy C. (A)
76. Schnarr N. (A)
95. De La Rose J. (A)
34. Jarventie R.
43. Schild T.
Line 2
72. Heed T.
5. Seiler S.
14. Worge Kreu W.
77. Streule M.
77. Joly M.
11. Hedlund L.
91. Kodytek P.
73. Schmid S. (A)
18. Pestoni I.
9. Sorensen M.
Line 3
21. Bachmann L.
27. Rathgeb Y.
7. Dotti I.
3. Kapla M.
43. Muggli T.
39. Reber J.
44. Heim A.
21. Borgstrom H.
17. Muller M.
29. Richard A.
Line 4
27. Dotti Z.
7. Jecker B.
11. Borradori N. (A)
37. Nicolet K.
13. Landry M.
93. Dorthe J.
37. Landry L.
97. Marchon N.
Substitutes
73. Bosson D.
45. Boppart Y.
90. Senn G. (G)
1. Galley L. (G)
Coaches
. Tapola J.
. Ronnberg R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
01:03, 1 - 0, Joly M. (G),
02:35, (2 min),
06:05, 1 - 1, Bertschy C. (G), Schild T. (A), Streule M. (A2)
06:50, Johnson L. (2 min),
12:14, 2 - 1, Pestoni I. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Joly M. (A2)
14:05, De Luca T. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 1)
05:23, Jarventie R. (2 min),
08:05, Nicolet K. (2 min),
17:13, 2 - 2, De La Rose J. (G),
17:58, 3 - 2, Joly M. (G), Pestoni I. (A), Worge Kreu W. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
10:56, Hedlund L. (2 min),
17:25, Richard A. (2 min),
17:25, Richard A. (2 min),
19:33, De La Rose J. (2 min),
19:33, De La Rose J. (2 min),
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ambrì-Piotta won 2.
Ambrì-Piotta has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Fribourg-Gottéron has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ambrì-Piotta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Ambrì-Piotta has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 48:64 (averaging 2.4:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ambrì-Piotta against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 27:28 goals (averaging 2.7:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
2
Ambri-Piotta
16
8
2
1
5
50:46
29
4
Fribourg
17
7
2
2
6
57:43
27
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Fribourg: 11.25% Ambri-Piotta: 2.85%
Last Results with these Odds
Ambrì-Piotta - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.74%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
Switzerland
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Wuthrich P. (G) 
Nemeth P. 
De Luca T. (C) 
Schnarr N. (A) 
Jarventie R. 
Kodytek P. 
Kapla M. 
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