Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 25

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday

Location: Coliseum (Amiens)


	Amiens		Chamonix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.94	4.1	2.9
	1.76	4.2	3
	1.85	4.67	3.19	Watch
	1.91	4.2	3
	1.9	4	3.11	Watch
	1.86	4.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.4)	4.24 ↑ (3.95)	3.03 ↑ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amiens
48.6%

Draw
21.4%

Chamonix
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.7%

23.5%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

22%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amiens's performance.

Chamonix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chamonix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amiens that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chamonix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amiens - Chamonix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kozun T. (G)	34. Garnier R. (G)
71. Beauchamp A.	23. Colombin L.
4. Bergeron J. (A)	15. Convert L.
74. Bussat M.	51. Delmas Q.
9. Cepon K.	46. Durand C. (C)
94. Craig K.	27. Fortin J.
88. De Mali A.	8. Johansson A. T.
73. Djemel I.	91. Kivinen S.
91. Gauffriau V.	5. Koponen S. (A)
97. Gibert G.	96. Lopachuk S.
89. Larose F.	7. Pantzare I.
98. Lemay W.	25. Penz J.
29. Magovac A. (C)	69. Raska A.
18. Maia B. (A)	26. Salituro D.
12. Matima R.	6. Tarabusi A.
43. Mony M.	19. Tugnutt M.
11. Plagnat A.	41. Ville G. (A)
23. Richards S.	21. Ville M.
72. Svanenbergs J.	50. Wahlgren T.
Substitutes
20. Fouquerel C. (G)	30. Boudet B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:28, 1 - 0, Djemel I. (G), Craig K. (A), Mony M. (A2)
13:23, 2 - 0, Lemay W. (G), Svanenbergs J. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 3)
04:42, 3 - 0, Gauffriau V. (G), Gibert G. (A),
06:20, 3 - 1, Lopachuk S. (G), Ville G. (A), Wahlgren T. (A2)
09:28, 4 - 1, Matima R. (G), Djemel I. (A), Magovac A. (A2)
18:34, 4 - 2, Wahlgren T. (G), Delmas Q. (A), Garnier R. (A2)
18:56, 4 - 3, Koponen S. (G), Ville G. (A), Durand C. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
04:14, 5 - 3, Svanenbergs J. (G), Lemay W. (A), Plagnat A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 2.

Amiens is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Chamonix's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Chamonix may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Amiens could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Amiens will win today's game, with odds of 1.92.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 74:67. (average 3.7:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:33. (average 3.5:3.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Amiens - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.65%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Chamonix - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.86%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Amiens Hockey
French Ligue Magnus
07.12.25	Amiens - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	2:7 ✺
05.12.25	Cergy-Pontoise - Amiens	3:4 ✺
02.12.25	Amiens - Cergy-Pontoise	2:1 OT ✺
30.11.25	Nice - Amiens	1:3 ✺
28.11.25	Amiens - Briançon	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWWW
- Chamonix HC
French Hockey Cup
16.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	4:6 ✺
French Ligue Magnus
05.12.25	Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble - Chamonix	6:0 ✺
02.12.25	Chamonix - Nice	2:3 OT ✺
30.11.25	Briançon - Chamonix	4:2 ✺
28.11.25	Chamonix - Brûleurs de Loups Grenoble	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
14.11.25	Amiens - Chamonix	4:5 penalties
03.10.25	Chamonix - Amiens	1:5
17.01.25	Amiens - Chamonix	0:5
05.01.25	Chamonix - Amiens	5:1
15.11.24	Chamonix - Amiens	4:6
08.10.24	Amiens - Chamonix	3:2 OT
30.01.24	Chamonix - Amiens	5:4 OT

Amiens - Chamonix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide