Match Info

Ligue Magnus - Round 38

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Palais Omnisports Marseille Grand-Est (Marseille) 🌤️ ...


	Spartiates de Marseille		Chamonix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	4.35	3.75
	1.65	4.08	3.44
	1.71	4.53	3.81	Watch
	1.67	4.25	3.8	Watch
	1.62	4.4	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.64)	4.32 ↓ (4.68)	3.71 ↓ (3.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spartiates de Marseille
54.6%

Draw
21%

Chamonix
24.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

19.8%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

20.4%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spartiates de Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Chamonix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartiates de Marseille than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chamonix than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Spartiates de Marseille will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Kasik L. (G)	31. Aubrun T. (G)
13. Asten M.	15. Convert L.
74. Bourgeois F. (A)	51. Delmas Q.
15. Bouvet M.	46. Durand C. (C)
16. Colotti F. (C)	27. Fortin J.
37. Corvez M.	9. Grinbergs R.
77. Da Costa T.	91. Kivinen S.
23. Dair F.	5. Koponen S. (A)
44. Dufek J. (A)	96. Lopachuk S.
11. Gonnard G.	7. Pantzare I.
12. Joubert P.	25. Penz J.
90. Lindgren A.	69. Raska A.
97. Nsonsa-Kitala N.	16. Robert C.
53. Petersson B.	26. Salituro D.
36. Ruusu E.	6. Tarabusi A.
92. Stromberg K.	21. Ville M. (A)
91. Valtonen J.	50. Wahlgren T.
71. Welsh T.
10. Wong T.
Substitutes
33. Gourdin F. (G)	30. Boudet B. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
15:22, 0 - 1, Fortin J. (G), Robert C. (A), Koponen S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
12:35, 1 - 1, Joubert P. (G), Petersson B. (A), Dufek J. (A2)
3rd Period (4 - 1)
03:22, 2 - 1, Bourgeois F. (G), Stromberg K. (A),
05:09, 2 - 2, Kivinen S. (G), Wahlgren T. (A), Grinbergs R. (A2)
14:19, 3 - 2, Bourgeois F. (G),
17:44, 4 - 2, Wong T. (G), Valtonen J. (A),
19:33, 5 - 2, Asten M. (G), Valtonen J. (A), Corvez M. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 2.

Marseille is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chamonix's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Marseille is a strong favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Marseille won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 41:39. (average 3.2:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Marseille won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 3.1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Marseille	14	7	2	2	3	46:37	27
4	Chamonix Mont-Blanc	12	6	0	3	3	39:39	21

Last Results with these Odds

Spartiates de Marseille - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 56.57%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Chamonix - the odds 3.93 are the expected chance of winning is 23.61%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spartiates de Marseille
French Ligue Magnus
30.01.26	Briançon - Spartiates de Marseille	3:2 OT ✺
27.01.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Rouen	0:5 ✺
23.01.26	Anglet - Spartiates de Marseille	3:4 penalties ✺
21.01.26	Spartiates de Marseille - Angers	2:4 ✺
16.01.26	Gap - Spartiates de Marseille	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Chamonix HC
French Ligue Magnus
30.01.26	Chamonix - Gap	6:3 ✺
27.01.26	Briançon - Chamonix	3:2 ✺
23.01.26	Chamonix - Amiens	3:1 ✺
20.01.26	Rouen - Chamonix	5:1 ✺
16.01.26	Chamonix - Anglet	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue Magnus
30.12.25	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	3:5
French Hockey Cup
16.12.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	4:6
French Ligue Magnus
28.10.25	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	5:3
17.10.25	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	8:2
14.01.25	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	2:1
06.12.24	Spartiates de Marseille - Chamonix	4:2
05.11.24	Chamonix - Spartiates de Marseille	4:5 OT

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