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Current Win Probability
Amurskie Tigry 37.8%
Draw 23.4%
Sakhalinskie Akuly 38.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.9%
22.1%
32%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.5%
23.4%
28.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amurskie Tigry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Amurskie Tigry's form might have worsened.
Sakhalinskie Akuly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sakhalinskie Akuly's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amurskie Tigry than the current prediction. (+10.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Amurskie Tigry, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakhalinskie Akuly than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sakhalinskie Akuly, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Amurskie Tigry - Sakhalinskie Akuly Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Podorozhny M. (G)
1. Bai Y. (G)
45. Lutsenko A.
75. Kuchiyev R.
75. Sherstnev I. (C)
15. Tsoy R. (A)
96. Startsev V.
88. Vasilyuk M. (A)
78. Saksonin G.
87. Chechel M.
51. Alekseichuk S.
21. Goryachev A.
Line 2
88. Dyominsky Y.
6. Aksarov V.
92. Novak S. (A)
96. Ignatenko V.
57. Vagapov D. (A)
13. Korenev D.
74. Krasovsky A.
17. Cherepanov S.
11. Melnik N.
9. Kartashov N.
Line 3
76. Salikov G.
82. Bannov D.
53. Vainer V.
72. Kryuk S. (C)
13. Balanchik I.
55. Vakhrushev M.
80. Manukyan G.
86. Kozlov I.
32. Rizvanov R.
50. Krutenkov A.
Line 4
23. Kolodyazhnyi A.
11. Vinogradov S.
43. Samsonov Y.
77. Belov L.
42. Tatyankin M.
23. Kuznetsov N.
95. Ovchinnikov Y.
64. Leichenko A.
Substitutes
68. Chugainov I.
52. Khachaturyan S. (G)
1. Svishchyov I. (G)
49. Ustyushenko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
10:55, 0 - 1, Krutenkov A. (G), Vakhrushev M. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
15:28, 1 - 1, Vagapov D. (G), Melnik N. (A), Lutsenko A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
05:07, 1 - 2, Korenev D. (G), Kartashov N. (A), Cherepanov S. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amurskie Tigry won 0.
In recent matches, Amurskie Tigry has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Sakhalinskie Akuly is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).
Sakhalinskie Akuly may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Amurskie Tigry won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 62:66. (average 3.1:3.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Amurskie Tigry won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:32. (average 3.3:3.6).
Watch
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Podorozhny M. (G) 
Balanchik I. 
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