Match Info

NMHL

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday


	Arktika Murmansk		Fakel Salekhard

	1	X	2
	4.18	4.7	1.55
	4.18	4.7	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (4.08)	4.7 ↓ (4.9)	1.55 ↓ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arktika Murmansk
21.8%

Draw
19.4%

Fakel Salekhard
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

18.9%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

18.9%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arktika Murmansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Fakel Salekhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arktika Murmansk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fakel Salekhard than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
05:42, 0 - 1, Ugryumov P. (G), Yeroshenko O. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:06, 1 - 1, Shatalov I. (G), Tarasov V. (A), Ivanov L. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:36, 2 - 1, Safronov D. (G), Gromov V. (A),
12:47, 3 - 1, Shumilin L. (G), Pinkov A. (A), Gaina N. (A2)
14:15, 3 - 2, Ugryumov P. (G), Panfilov I. (A),
14:50, 3 - 3, Panfilov I. (G), Chaplygin M. (A), Kutalov N. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (2 - 0)
1, Meshalkin D. (Penalty Shot),
1, Antonov L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Shumilin L. (Penalty Shot),
2, Tyapkov A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Tarasov V. (Penalty Shot),
3, Filyakov S. (Penalty Shot),
4, Gaina N. (Penalty Shot),
4, Chaplygin M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arktika won 2.

Recent form of Arktika has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Fakel is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arktika may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Arktika has had a series of away games.

Recently, Fakel has had a series of home games.

In this match, Fakel is a strong favorite.

We predict that Fakel will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arktika won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:40. (average 2.3:4.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Arktika won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:21. (average 2.4:4.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arktika Murmansk
RHL
02.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	3:2 ✺
24.11.25	Bryansk - Arktika Murmansk	4:3 OT ✺
23.11.25	Bryansk - Arktika Murmansk	4:2 ✺
20.11.25	Kaluga - Arktika Murmansk	7:2 ✺
19.11.25	Kaluga - Arktika Murmansk	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLLL
- Fakel Salekhard
RHL
02.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	2:1 penalties ✺
22.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Granit Chekhov	5:4 ✺
12.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	4:3 ✺
11.11.25	Fakel Salekhard - Bryansk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
02.12.25	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	3:2
12.03.25	Fakel Salekhard - Arktika Murmansk	2:5
11.03.25	Fakel Salekhard - Arktika Murmansk	3:0
31.10.24	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	2:6
30.10.24	Arktika Murmansk - Fakel Salekhard	1:2
17.01.24	Fakel Salekhard - Arktika Murmansk	6:2
16.01.24	Fakel Salekhard - Arktika Murmansk	8:2

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