Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Round 19

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Hodegart (Asiago)


	Asiago		Acroni Jesenice

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.61	4.25	3.85	Watch
	1.91	4.09	3.13	Watch
	1.62	4.45	3.92
	1.68	4.1	3.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.91)	4.22 ↑ (4.09)	3.53 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
53%

Draw
21.4%

Acroni Jesenice
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

22.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

21.8%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Acroni Jesenice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Acroni Jesenice than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Asiago - Acroni Jesenice Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Santangelo R. (G)	33. Us Z. (G)
63. Bellini S.	19. Sojer T.
21. Calisti R.	4. Mlakar T.
9. Valentini R.	20. Koblar G.
37. Chiodo L.	9. Burgar N.
71. Porco N.	10. Jenko J.
Line 2
4. Gios G.	69. Oblak M.
17. Casetti L.	8. Urukalo Z.
95. Magnabosco M.	84. Slivnik L.
19. Rigoni F.	14. Lesnicar T.
10. Parco A.	22. Svetina E.
Line 3
89. Rigoni F.	7. Kovacevic D.
44. Parini G.	15. Slibar O.
29. Nitz R.	5. Pecnik J.
20. Mbow F.	13. Sodja Zalokar G.
61. Garau N.	77. Baloh D.
Line 4
8. Cortese L.	17. Plemelj A.
41. Forte M.	11. Sturm N.
74. Ferretti L.	23. Stevic D.
91. Rigoni A.
15. Miglioranzi A.
Substitutes
1. Rigoni R. (G)	25. Sodja Zalokar T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
06:26, 1 - 0, Porco N. (G), Chiodo L. (A), Valentini R. (A2)
17:53, 2 - 0, Chiodo L. (G), Bellini S. (A), Porco N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:36, 2 - 1, Pecnik J. (G), Baloh D. (A), Kovacevic D. (A2)
02:41, 3 - 1, Porco N. (G), Valentini R. (A), Chiodo L. (A2)
08:10, 3 - 2, Slivnik L. (G), Lesnicar T. (A), Svetina E. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
07:46, 4 - 2, Chiodo L. (G), Forte M. (A),
15:20, 4 - 3, Svetina E. (G), Lesnicar T. (A), Sojer T. (A2)
19:27, 4 - 4, Baloh D. (G),
Overtime (0 - 1)
03:52, 4 - 5, Svetina E. (G), Urukalo Z. (A), Plemelj A. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asiago won 4.

In recent matches, Asiago has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Acroni Jesenice is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Acroni Jesenice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Asiago is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Asiago will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Asiago won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 60:45. (average 3:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Asiago won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 23:15. (average 2.6:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Alps Hockey League
20.11.25	Cortina - Asiago	5:4 OT ✺
15.11.25	Zell am See - Asiago	3:2 penalties ✺
13.11.25	Asiago - Ritten-Renon	4:2 ✺
11.11.25	Asiago - Gherdëina	5:1 ✺
01.11.25	Asiago - Vipiteno	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWW
- Acroni Jesenice
Alps Hockey League
20.11.25	Acroni Jesenice - Vipiteno	2:3 OT ✺
18.11.25	Red Bull Salzburg 2 - Acroni Jesenice	6:2 ✺
15.11.25	Kitzbühel - Acroni Jesenice	6:3 ✺
14.11.25	Acroni Jesenice - Merano Junior	4:3 penalties ✺
01.11.25	Cortina - Acroni Jesenice	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
04.10.25	Acroni Jesenice - Asiago	3:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
12.09.24	Acroni Jesenice - Asiago	2:7
IIHF Continental Cup
16.10.22	Asiago - Acroni Jesenice	5:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.22	Acroni Jesenice - Asiago	2:0
Alps Hockey League
19.04.22	Asiago - Acroni Jesenice	2:1
16.04.22	Acroni Jesenice - Asiago	2:4
14.04.22	Asiago - Acroni Jesenice	1:4

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