The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Asiago 52.7%
Draw 20.2%
Kitzbühel 27.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.7%
20.8%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
22.9%
30.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Asiago has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Kitzbühel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Asiago that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kitzbühel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Asiago - Kitzbühel Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Santangelo R. (G)
39. Grascher P. (G)
17. Casetti L.
15. Braun L.
21. Calisti R.
98. Lattner J.
94. Szypula E.
21. Holler A.
71. Porco N.
20. Krainz C.
9. Valentini R.
29. Stahlberg E.
Line 2
51. Tolomelli R.
14. Podlipnik M.
89. Rigoni F.
53. Ebner M.
74. Ferretti L.
66. Sloboda M.
88. Traversa T.
8. Livsics D.
68. Marchetti M.
59. Wittwer E.
Line 3
67. Pietroniro K.
94. Bruckner P.
57. Soderberg A.
40. Posch B.
95. Magnabosco M.
37. Engelhart J.
19. Rigoni F.
9. Waschnig L.
10. Parco A.
88. Aigner R.
Line 4
44. Parini G.
44. Nindler E.
41. Forte M.
12. Hanl M.
20. Mbow F.
27. Engelhart L.
91. Rigoni A.
19. Aigner J.
Substitutes
1. Rigoni R. (G)
33. Gratzer M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
05:32, 1 - 0, Marchetti M. (G), Magnabosco M. (A), Rigoni F. (A2)
08:46, 2 - 0, Szypula E. (G), Porco N. (A), Valentini R. (A2)
19:41, 2 - 1, Aigner R. (G), Engelhart J. (A), Ebner M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
12:22, 2 - 2, Podlipnik M. (G), Posch B. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
15:15, 3 - 2, Szypula E. (G), Porco N. (A),
19:52, 4 - 2, Pietroniro K. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Asiago won 3.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Kitzbühel could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Asiago holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Asiago has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 72:42 (averaging 4.5:2.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Asiago against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 40:19 goals (averaging 5:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
D
LO
L
Pts
2
Asiago
14
8
3
0
1
2
67:46
31
5
Kitzbuhel
12
5
1
0
1
5
49:42
18
Last Results with these Odds
Kitzbühel - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 27.56%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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Santangelo R. (G) 
Grascher P. (G) 
Calisti R. 
Lattner J. 
Stahlberg E. 
Podlipnik M. 
Sloboda M. 
Livsics D. 
Wittwer E. 
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