Match Info

MHL

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Avto		AKM Novomoskovsk

	1	X	2
	1.48	5	4.99	Watch
	1.47	5.25	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.64)	5.13 ↓ (5.2)	5.12 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avto
63.5%

Draw
18.3%

AKM Novomoskovsk
18.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

18%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

17.3%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Avto's performance.

AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and AKM Novomoskovsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avto than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that AKM Novomoskovsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Avto - AKM Novomoskovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Sokolkin S. (G)	1. Khabibulin R. (G)
54. Boikov D.	79. Ponomaryov D.
53. Yurkov K.	69. Rostkov V.
58. Zhirov S.	75. Orlov D.
67. Gashilov L. (A)	18. Bogdanov N.
63. Isayev D.	93. Domrachev Y.
Line 2
49. Tokmakov D.	3. Badikov A.
33. Baikov O. (A)	37. Gilmanov D.
51. Pimin A. (C)	9. Onishchenko M. (A)
75. Dudorga G.	72. Boyarkin G.
64. Gladkov E.	10. Kazharin I.
Line 3
8. Pyankov A.	88. Oniskiv B. (A)
5. Mamai A.	14. Terentyev M. (C)
78. Kuznetsov A.	71. Krasin D.
61. Gubin I.	97. Krutenkov A.
36. Zheltov Y.	77. Semenov S.
Line 4
52. Gorbunov A.	11. Gendunov E.
60. Semeikin D.	2. Kostromin E.
68. Zakharov Y.	7. Sapogov M.
89. Afanasyev N.	15. Gordyukov A.
37. Mortsinkevich Y.	17. Chebotayev K.
Substitutes
50. Gorbunov S. (G)	20. Buidov I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
10:13, 1 - 0, Zhirov S. (G), Isayev D. (A), Gashilov L. (A2)
19:01, 2 - 0, Isayev D. (G), Gashilov L. (A), Boikov D. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
11:03, 3 - 0, Isayev D. (G),
15:18, 4 - 0, Dudorga G. (G), Pimin A. (A), Gladkov E. (A2)
17:24, 5 - 0, Isayev D. (G), Zhirov S. (A), Gashilov L. (A2)
19:31, 6 - 0, Gubin I. (G),
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

AKM Novomoskovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Avto has had a series of away games.

In this match, Avto is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Avto won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:0. (average 4:0).

Including home match between the teams, Avto won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avto Yekaterinburg
MHL
13.09.25	Avto - Belye Medvedi	2:5 ✺
09.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Avto	8:0 ✺
08.09.25	Omskye Yastreby - Avto	8:1 ✺
05.09.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Avto	3:9 ✺
04.09.25	Kuznetskie Medvedi - Avto	3:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLWW
- AKM Novomoskovsk
MHL
11.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm	4:5 OT ✺
10.09.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm	2:4 ✺
06.09.25	Snezhnye Barsy - AKM Novomoskovsk	1:6 ✺
05.09.25	Snezhnye Barsy - AKM Novomoskovsk	1:8 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
21.08.25	AKM Novomoskovsk - Stalnye Lisy	4:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
10.01.25	Avto - AKM Novomoskovsk	2:0
12.10.24	AKM Novomoskovsk - Avto	0:6

Avto - AKM Novomoskovsk