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Current Win Probability
AKM Novomoskovsk 27.3%
Draw 21.9%
Molot Perm 50.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
40.1%
19.8%
40.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
19.7%
39.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
AKM Novomoskovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that AKM Novomoskovsk's form might have worsened.
Molot Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Molot Perm's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AKM Novomoskovsk than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for AKM Novomoskovsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (-11%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Molot Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
AKM Novomoskovsk - Molot Perm Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Skryabin N. (G)
80. Yermashov F. (G)
79. Ponomaryov D.
25. Sadykov K. (A)
69. Rostkov V.
84. Bogdanov S.
71. Krasin D.
98. Stefanov D.
97. Krutenkov A.
16. Fedyayev D. (A)
77. Semenov S.
87. Bashinsky M.
Line 2
3. Badikov A.
97. Davydov V.
37. Gilmanov D.
94. Pyankov D. (C)
9. Onishchenko M. (A)
44. Tararayev I.
72. Boyarkin G.
29. Kalashnik M.
10. Kazharin I.
19. Makarov I.
Line 3
24. Kulikov A.
85. Martynenko D.
14. Terentyev M. (C)
34. Khoroshunov R.
7. Sapogov M.
21. Bolotov A.
18. Bogdanov N.
11. Komarov R.
93. Domrachev Y.
13. Uzhva A.
Line 4
4. Pilyugin K.
99. Smirnov D.
88. Oniskiv B. (A)
69. Stepanov A.
22. Postovoy A.
78. Sukharev G.
15. Gordyukov A.
55. Kirzhatsky K.
17. Chebotayev K.
Substitutes
20. Buidov I. (G)
72. Bekuzarov E.
1. Vyatkin R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 0)
17:50, 1 - 0, Sapogov M. (G), Domrachev Y. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
10:47, 2 - 0, Kazharin I. (G), Onishchenko M. (A), Boyarkin G. (A2)
14:57, 2 - 1, Bogdanov S. (G), Makarov I. (A), Uzhva A. (A2)
19:25, 2 - 2, Bashinsky M. (G), Sadykov K. (A), Bogdanov S. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
00:48, 3 - 2, Kazharin I. (G), Onishchenko M. (A), Boyarkin G. (A2)
01:25, 3 - 3, Kalashnik M. (G),
11:55, 4 - 3, Domrachev Y. (G), Gilmanov D. (A), Boyarkin G. (A2)
19:15, 4 - 4, Makarov I. (G), Fedyayev D. (A), Bogdanov S. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:16, 4 - 5, Fedyayev D. (G), Stefanov D. (A),
Preview
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
AKM Novomoskovsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Molot has had a series of away games.
In this match, Molot is the team to beat.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AKM Novomoskovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:19. (average 2.4:3.8).
Including home matches between the teams, AKM Novomoskovsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:13. (average 2.7:4.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Molot Perm - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 40.1%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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