Match Info

MHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Avto		Tolpar

	1	X	2
	2.52	4.12	2.45
	2.49	4.15	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.23)	4.14 ↓ (4.25)	2.4 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Avto
37.7%

Draw
22.8%

Tolpar
39.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

22%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

22.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Avto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tolpar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avto than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolpar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Avto - Tolpar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Sokolkin S. (G)	99. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
94. Kaigorodov G.	33. Agafonov M.
23. Gamzakov M. (A)	76. Pykhtin D. (C)
71. Velikov M. (C)	11. Shaykhlislamov A.
67. Gashilov L. (A)	37. Zagrebin M.
63. Isayev D.	28. Akhsyanov B. (A)
Line 2
62. Shchuchinov A.	98. Zayets D.
91. Malorosiyanov D.	23. Khafzetdinov A.
51. Pimin A.	9. Petrenko D.
89. Afanasyev N.	42. Koltsov N.
37. Mortsinkevich Y.	79. Nabiev A.
Line 3
54. Boikov D.	24. Karasyov M.
5. Mamai A.	36. Gunkin Y.
58. Zhirov S.	67. Khabibullin A. (A)
75. Dudorga G.	87. Buzdyganov V.
12. Shchukin Y.	75. Shebyakin M.
Line 4
53. Yurkov K.	86. Volkov D.
34. Kasimov A.	63. Makarkin A.
61. Gubin I.	18. Kireyev R.
42. Morozov P.	74. Adamyan A.
Substitutes
43. Drobyshevsky D.	26. Degtyarev M.
50. Gorbunov S. (G)	1. Yelin I. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
09:27, 1 - 0, Velikov M. (G), Kaigorodov G. (A), Isayev D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
03:48, 1 - 1, Nabiev A. (G), Petrenko D. (A), Koltsov N. (A2)
13:57, 2 - 1, Mortsinkevich Y. (G), Pimin A. (A), Afanasyev N. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
02:08, 2 - 2, Kireyev R. (G), Degtyarev M. (A), Makarkin A. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
19:33, 3 - 2, Isayev D. (G), Gamzakov M. (A), Gashilov L. (A2)

Preview

Avto (MHL) leads series 2-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avto won 4.

Avto is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tolpar has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

We predict that Avto will win today's game, with odds of 2.53.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 71:65. (average 3.6:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Avto won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:23. (average 3.3:2.6).

Last Results with these Odds

Avto - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 41.86%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Tolpar - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 36.18%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Avto Yekaterinburg
MHL
07.04.26	Avto - Tolpar	2:5 ✺
04.04.26	Tolpar - Avto	2:5 ✺
03.04.26	Tolpar - Avto	2:5 ✺
22.03.26	Avto - Tolpar	6:5 OT ✺
19.03.26	Avto - Stalnye Lisy	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 LWWWW
- Tolpar Ufa
MHL
07.04.26	Avto - Tolpar	2:5 ✺
04.04.26	Tolpar - Avto	2:5 ✺
03.04.26	Tolpar - Avto	2:5 ✺
22.03.26	Avto - Tolpar	6:5 OT ✺
19.03.26	Belye Medvedi - Tolpar	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

MHL
07.04.26	Avto - Tolpar	2:5
04.04.26	Tolpar - Avto	2:5
03.04.26	Tolpar - Avto	2:5
22.03.26	Avto - Tolpar	6:5 OT
12.12.25	Avto - Tolpar	3:1
26.10.25	Tolpar - Avto	7:3
25.10.25	Tolpar - Avto	6:2

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