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Current Win Probability
Loko-76 29.6%
Draw 22.7%
Avto 47.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
27%
22.2%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
24.4%
46%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Loko-76 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Avto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
The ML Model estimate for Loko-76 aligns with the current prediction.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avto than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
Loko 76 - Avto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
22. Kazantsev Y. (G)
20. Sokolkin S. (G)
57. Ladonnikov Y.
4. Salnikov A.
64. Voroshilov A.
23. Gamzakov M.
9. Malkov N.
51. Pimin A. (A)
21. Klochko A.
75. Dudorga G.
66. Kiseyev A.
58. Zhirov S.
Line 2
96. Isayenko F. (C)
5. Mamai A. (C)
89. Tumanov A.
49. Tokmakov D.
17. Kochetkov A.
65. Privalov Y.
15. Nos I.
12. Gubin I.
12. Chernyayev S.
87. Lykov A. (A)
Line 3
52. Yablokov A. (A)
6. Ivanov L.
33. Ukhov T.
74. Ivonin S.
19. Bazhenov D.
81. Kazadayev F.
75. Bulgakov M.
97. Afanasyev N.
87. Frolov A.
34. Kasimov A.
Line 4
4. Matveyev S.
60. Semeikin D.
2. Voitenko A.
53. Yurkov K.
37. Tauber A.
47. Onishchuk L.
67. Bubnov L.
64. Osipov M.
13. Davydov G. (A)
57. Morozov P.
Substitutes
31. Borichev D. (G)
31. Minayev Y. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 3)
06:49, 0 - 1, Pimin A. (G), Zhirov S. (A), Salnikov A. (A2)
08:00, 0 - 2, Semeikin D. (G), Morozov P. (A), Onishchuk L. (A2)
13:48, 0 - 3, Ivanov L. (G), Kazadayev F. (A),
2nd Period (4 - 0)
06:42, 1 - 3, Chernyayev S. (G), Nos I. (A),
10:37, 2 - 3, Frolov A. (G), Bubnov L. (A),
13:58, 3 - 3, Bulgakov M. (G), Matveyev S. (A),
15:22, 4 - 3, Nos I. (G), Kochetkov A. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:14, 5 - 3, Frolov A. (G), Bazhenov D. (A),
19:11, 5 - 4, Lykov A. (G), Gubin I. (A),
19:57, 6 - 4, Malkov N. (G), Kiseyev A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Loko-76 won 2.
Loko-76 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Avto shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Avto could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Avto holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Loko-76 has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 36:32 (averaging 2.8:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Loko-76 against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 23:13 goals (averaging 3.3:1.9 per game).
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Kazantsev Y. (G) 
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