Match Info

Tipsport liga - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Tipsport Arena (Banská Bystrica)

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	JOJ Play, Sport 1, Voyo


	Banská Bystrica		Nitra

	1	X	2
	3.10	4.50	1.85
	3.60	4.40	1.75
	3.35	4.30	1.83
	3.32	4.02	1.80
	3.15	4.48	1.89	Watch
	3.25	3.95	1.78
	3.37	4.30	1.79
	3.35	4.30	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↓ (3.32)	4.28 ↓ (4.33)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Banská Bystrica
27.8%

Draw
21.5%

Nitra
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

21.5%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

22.5%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Banská Bystrica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Nitra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Banská Bystrica than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nitra than the current prediction. (+2%)

Banská Bystrica - Nitra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
29. Buitenhuis E. (G)	31. Gadzhiev S. (G)
7. Lucas A.	44. Osburn Z.
2. Lee J.	16. Stacha M.
55. Valach M.	67. Paulovic M. (A)
42. Ticar R.	13. Kristof M. (C)
9. Faith R.	41. Timashov D.
Line 2
27. Fereta S.	28. Kalman A.
6. Zabka B.	2. Baca M.
86. Loshing Y.	91. Jackson R.
97. Gron S.	71. Pollock B.
22. Soltes D.	89. Holesinsky A.
Line 3
75. Michalcin C.	17. Vitalos M.
54. Cesanek B.	23. Botka O.
21. Matousek T.	39. Lacka J.
24. Zigo T.	29. Chrenko T.
72. Kabac M.	96. Molnar O.
Line 4
77. Kubka B.	15. Carmichael E.
67. Varga A.	9. Kovac H.
23. Tomka L.	80. Hrnka T. (A)
14. Jendek D.	21. Bajtek F.
Substitutes
80. Lackovic J. (G)	11. Lass D.
	33. Marinov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
11:05, 1 - 0, Lucas A. (G), Gron S. (A), Loshing Y. (A2)
18:13, 2 - 0, Cesanek B. (G), Loshing Y. (A), Soltes D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:29, 3 - 0, Zigo T. (G), Gron S. (A), Loshing Y. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
06:45, 3 - 1, Jackson R. (G), Timashov D. (A), Hrnka T. (A2)
13:53, 4 - 1, Valach M. (G), Faith R. (A),
19:18, 4 - 2, Osburn Z. (G), Paulovic M. (A), Chrenko T. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Banská Bystrica won 2.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Nitra is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Banská Bystrica in today's match, at odds of 2.99.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Banská Bystrica has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 56:67 (averaging 2.8:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Banská Bystrica against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 34:29 goals (averaging 3.4:2.9 per game).

Outrights of Slovak Extraliga for now

Nitra: 13.99% Ban. Bystrica: 5.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Ban. Bystrica	8	3	2	0	3	25:22	13
11	Nitra	9	1	1	1	6	22:33	6

Last Results with these Odds

Banská Bystrica - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 28%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Nitra - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.53%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC 05 Banska Bystrica
Slovak Extraliga
25.09.26	Prešov - Banská Bystrica	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Banská Bystrica - Spišská Nová Ves	2:3 ✺
18.09.26	HC Dukla Trenčín - Banská Bystrica	3:4 penalties ✺
15.09.26	Banská Bystrica - Zvolen	3:5 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
04.09.26	Banská Bystrica - Fehérvár AV 19	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWLW
- HK Nitra
Slovak Extraliga
25.09.26	Nitra - MsHK Žilina	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	Poprad - Nitra	5:2 ✺
18.09.26	Nitra - HC Košice	1:2 AET ✺
15.09.26	Nitra - Slovan Bratislava	2:4 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	SaiPa - Nitra	2:3 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Slovak Extraliga
08.03.26	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	0:3
30.01.26	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	3:1
05.01.26	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	5:2
21.12.25	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	2:3 OT
26.11.25	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	1:8
12.10.25	Nitra - Banská Bystrica	4:1
07.03.25	Banská Bystrica - Nitra	2:4

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