Match Info

RUSSIA: MHL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Belye Medvedi		SKA-1946

	1	X	2
	4.82	4.34	1.65
	4.82	4.35	1.65
	4	4.6	1.68	Watch
	3.95	4.5	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.4 ↓ (5.45)	4.45 ↓ (5.25)	1.65 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belye Medvedi
21.4%

Draw
21.2%

SKA-1946
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

17.9%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.7%

18.4%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belye Medvedi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

SKA-1946 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SKA-1946 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belye Medvedi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SKA-1946 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SKA-1946 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Lineups

Line 1
93. Mosharov D. (G)	40. Moysevich P. (G)
42. Yusupov V.	12. Remezovsky I.
73. Fedoseev Y.	9. Koromyslov A.
12. Rykov A.	11. Demidov I.
57. Telegin N.	88. Lazutin D.
87. Rykmanov A. (C)	98. Romanov V.
Line 2
22. Filatov A.	87. Sapunov V.
69. Devyatkin A.	84. Vydrenkov I.
97. Yapparov Y.	86. Sinyatkin S.
95. Aglamzyanov R.	71. Korotkiy M.
27. Kirzhakov D.	97. Nugmanov A.
Line 3
5. Podguzov A.	73. Vilchinsky A.
18. Mikanovich D.	21. Yegorov A.
56. Kulishov L.	89. Surayev N.
92. Gorbunov Y.	47. Nedopyokin N.
50. Yekimov N.	91. Lutfullin I.
Line 4
94. Shchuchinov A.	14. Polyakov M.
39. Matyushin A.	33. Kalinin N.
83. Gorbunov S.	96. Kabat M.
98. Kolodiy L.	22. Andreev V.
	23. Osipov G.
Substitutes
80. Khazheyev R. (G)	31. Saranchuk G. (G)
52. Selivanov I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
07:24, 0 - 1, Lazutin D. (G), Demidov I. (A),
08:40, 1 - 1, Gorbunov S. (G), Kolodiy L. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 3)
03:06, 1 - 2, Osipov G. (G), Lazutin D. (A),
03:51, 1 - 3, Lazutin D. (G), Romanov V. (A), Demidov I. (A2)
09:00, 1 - 4, Lutfullin I. (G), Nedopyokin N. (A), Koromyslov A. (A2)
15:36, 2 - 4, Telegin N. (G), Shchuchinov A. (A), Rykov A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:26, 3 - 4, Yapparov Y. (G),

Preview

4th leg. SKA-1946 (MHL) leads series 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belye Medvedi won 2.

Recent matches Belye Medvedi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SKA-1946 is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match SKA-1946 is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Belye Medvedi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 31-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Belye Medvedi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-26.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Belye Medvedi
MHL
05.04.24	Belye Medvedi - SKA-1946	4:1 ✺
02.04.24	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1 ✺
01.04.24	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1 ✺
26.03.24	Belye Medvedi - Omskye Yastreby	3:1 ✺
23.03.24	Omskye Yastreby - Belye Medvedi	2:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLLWW
- SKA-1946
MHL
05.04.24	Belye Medvedi - SKA-1946	4:1 ✺
02.04.24	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1 ✺
01.04.24	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1 ✺
26.03.24	MHC Spartak - SKA-1946	4:5 OT ✺
20.03.24	SKA-1946 - MHC Spartak	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

MHL
05.04.24	Belye Medvedi - SKA-1946	4:1
02.04.24	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1
01.04.24	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1
07.04.18	Belye Medvedi - SKA-1946	2:4
06.04.18	Belye Medvedi - SKA-1946	6:4
03.04.18	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	4:1
02.04.18	SKA-1946 - Belye Medvedi	2:1 penalties

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