The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Biel 55.5%
Draw 20%
Ajoie 24.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
20.5%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
21.5%
22.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Biel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Biel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Biel - Ajoie Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 13th in the National League (Play Out: ) and 5th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Biel won 5.
Biel is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Ajoie have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ajoie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Biel carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Biel has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 76:55 (averaging 3.8:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Biel against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 46:31 goals (averaging 4.2:2.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
Ajoie
11
2
4
2
3
35:38
16
13
Biel
10
3
0
1
6
31:35
10
Last Results with these Odds
Ajoie - the odds 3.97 are the expected chance of winning is 23.55%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.
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